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Stock Opinions by Anastasia Amoroso, Chief investment strategist, iCapital

Most recent Opinions go here

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BUY

The bad news is already priced into private equity stocks, but earnings are moving up. Fundraising is strong.

STRONG BUY

Even if the Strait of Hormuz is completely reopened, the US has drawn down a lot of inventory while bumping up production. Pipelines will continue to do well. There's a lot to do in energy even if the Strait reopens. Oil is a definite buy.

BUY

The runway is not over, but risks are growing. Bottlenecks in supply will be resolved, but the beneficiaries will actually be software stocks. She's rotating to software, where the fundamentals are intact and earnings are growing. 

BUY
Downgraded today to sell

Free cash flow is large and it pays a 3.5% dividend, better than peers. You need a stock like Apple to contrast with the high-beta semis stocks.

DON'T BUY

You can't be bullish energy, because more supply is coming from OPEC and the US. Supply is surging, while demand is far below. So, inventories are building.

BUY

The housing recovery isn't a done deal. The key 10-year yield rate will likely be stuck between 4-4.3%. We have budget deficits to worry about stronger growth and fewer rate cuts. Good news is that homeowners have built up a lot of home equity, which could help HD. Also, the XLY discretionary ETF is doing great.

BUY

Small caps have been rangebound the past three years, but she thinks they will break out, driven by interest rate relief and financials.

BUY

M&A activity was turning around even before the election with $2 trillion of deals this year that exceeds that of 2021. Looking forward is the perfect environment for M&A. Upside to come.

BUY

Real-time data says that consumer spending is picking up, spending on services, commerce and e-travel, all in this ETF.

BUY

Chips are must-haves in a client portfolio given trends in EVs, AI and data centres which all need chips. Chip revenues are about half-trillion today, and are expected to doubole by 2030. Buy an any pullback. Also lieks chips because of the cyclical story. After de-stocking, inventories of semis rose which weighed on the semis sectors. But slowly, those inventories are declining. Also, chip demand is closely tied to performance in the manufacturing sector. Watch Wednesday's manufacturing PMI and see if it continues to increase.

BUY

If the Fed cuts rates, yields will decline as bond prices rise. Expect a 10% return in munies.

BUY

Homebuilders are hitting 52-weeks highs today. But IYR, which holds commercial REITs, remains down 25% from its highs. She likes IYR, if rates come down and real estates prices rebound.

COMMENT
oil weakness

Oil fundamentals are weaker than usual due to record demand as OPEC+ cut supply, but other sources are supplying too much. 2024 could see soft demand on the margins. Otherwise, collect dividends and enoy the share buybacks.

BUY

The latest upgrade makese sense. There's a huge secular growth opportunity and these alternative managers expand into wealth management. Also, there's potential for cyclical growth--fundraising in private equity has beeen very slow this year, slow deal flows. But now, valuations in private equity have reset by 20%. This is attracting interest back in this space and bodes well for 2024.

COMMENT
financials are rallying today

US financials have had a huge rebound in November after last spring. If interest rates decline, financials will benefit. However, she hesitates, because banks are most vulnerable to loadn defaults, bankruptcies and credit losses. She prefers tech now.

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