Nutrien Ltd. (NTR.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Nutrien Ltd. (NTR.TO)

93.63

-2.26 (2.36%)

as of Jun 5, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

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Investor Insights

Jun 6, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 24 opinions in the last 12 months.

Nutrien Ltd. (NTR-T) has garnered attention from various analysts, and while opinions vary, there is a general consensus on its potential for long-term growth. Despite facing temporary pressures from geopolitical factors and commodity price fluctuations, many experts highlight its dominance in the North American fertilizer market and robust dividend sustainability supported by its retail business. The overall sentiment suggests that current dips present favorable buying opportunities, with some analysts anticipating uptrends in fertilizer prices and positive EPS growth. A few express concerns regarding near-term supply constraints, yet the long-term outlook remains optimistic, bolstered by the need for fertilizers in global agriculture. As commodity prices show signs of stabilizing, Nutrien's operational strategies and market position appear to contribute positively to its growth trajectory.

Consensus

Buy

Valuation

Fair Value

Similar

ADM

HOLD

Think of this as a cyclical stock, selling a fertilizer commodity. A slowing economy is slowing farm product sales. A slowdown in the global economy will also slow global farm product sales. When the economy begins to regain growth, like later this year he thinks, it will recover. He likes it and owns it. Just make sure you hold no more than 3-4% of this in your portfolio.

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WEAK BUY

He's long owned this. There's too much potash on the market. NTR has a powerful retail segment, though, selling to farmers. This division earns well. The mining segment depends on global supply, and can be whipped around. China isn't buying much during the virus outbreak, but they eventually will. Nitrogen is oversupplied. The stock has a lot of concerns, but you can buy it while it's down.

DON'T BUY

Everything is now oversold in the market. Lots will rally. The chart looks rounded, which is a bearish sign. Levels of support have been breached multiple times.

HOLD

Holding this will not hurt your portfolio. They have a 4.5% yield. It is getting hurt with the fear of slowdown in China. In the short term, no fireworks.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Likes it, though it's been hit hard from weather, trade wars and now the coronavirus. A triple whammy. NTR generates a lot of free cash flow, though, at a 12x multiple and also pays a good dividend. They also buyback shares. The agricultural cycle is shorter than others. Buy this on a dip.

BUY

The chart shows a long, steady march down since early 2019. China will be a big influence (their commodity demand). NTR is hitting a bottom last seen in 2018, so you can start a position here, then add above $60. The risk/reward is good.

DON'T BUY

It has performed very poorly. They underperformed recently but gave some strong guidance for this year. This is not the seasonal time for AG stocks. We broke down below a 2018 low. They are saying famers HAVE to apply fertilizer but he is not sold on that theory. There is nothing technically to say this is a place to buy it. It is still a downward trend.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

It's a long-term agricultural play for him. It's now a buying opportunity. It'll hit $60 at some point. It pays a dividend of 4%. Take advantage during volatility like now. It's gone down now because of the coronavirus. Also, some investors are tired of the volatility and have stayed away.

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DON'T BUY

He stays away from commodity producers and capital intense companies. They don't have control over the demand for potash and it probably won't go anywhere. They own agricultural business and potash. He would not buy here. Nothing wrong with the company but he is not interested in the business model.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb 13/19, Down 18%) Trade issues were a negative last year. Contract from China will be delayed due to coronavirus. Generating lots of free cash. Waiting for earnings next week. Longer-term play on emerging markets.

COMMENT

A cyclical stock hit by the coronavirus virus (less Chinese demand). This'll do well if agriculture bounces back. Stick with this if you are long term like he is (he doesn't trade) where he builds a position slowly and averages down. He doesn't invest in commodities much.

DON'T BUY

It's suffering like any company in the commodities space. As USD stays strong, commodity prices continue to fall. This impacts Nutrien's potash and other phosphates. They are holding steady in their retail business. The dividend is not under stress so you get paid while you wait. However, there's nothing on the horizon that commodity prices will improve so it's not the time to buy.

BUY

He likes it and the entry point is well timed. Last year was a difficult year for them due to early frost and Nitrogen demand was weak. Longer term we are looking at an active consolidator. They have a long reserve life. They are not quite a price setter but they have good market share and can take supply up or down, depending on price of commodity. They buy back a lot of shares each year. He sees a resumption of growth this year.

HOLD

They have disappointed over the last couple of quarters. It has not rallied on the trade talks with China. The fundamentals still look good although weather has had a short term impact. He would continue to hold it. He likes their retail operations and the management team. He does hold a smaller position with them.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

He would hold off. It's a good, nimble company that has good strategies and takeovers. They have continued to go down, however. There is weakness in commodity prices, though they are good operators. They trade at a higher multiple than others. You could probably start to participate at these prices, but there are mixed feelings in the fertilizer sector. Last year there was a lot of problems that impacted farm income. The need for better fertilizer is still there so they will do alright in the long-run. You could average into this stock.

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Nutrien Ltd. (NTR.TO)