Nutrien Ltd. (NTR.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Nutrien Ltd. (NTR.TO)

89.35

+2.36 (2.71%)

as of Jun 30, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

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Investor Insights

Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 24 opinions in the last 12 months.

Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) is viewed favorably by several experts, highlighting its stability and potential for growth amid fluctuating fertilizer prices primarily affected by geopolitical events. The company's strong capital allocation strategy, improvement in farmer balance sheets, and consistent dividend payments are seen as attractive aspects. Despite facing some volatility due to its commodity nature, many analysts believe that Nutrien is positioned well for the long term, particularly with earnings expected to grow and a competitive edge in the agriculture sector. There is also a sense of optimism regarding its valuation, with some analysts suggesting that the stock is entering a new upward trend following a period of stagnation. While there are concerns about potential overvaluation in the near term, overall sentiment remains positive, with suggestions to buy during dips.

Consensus

Buy

Valuation

Fair Value

Similar

ADM,ADM

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 11/19, Down 5%) You want to buy commodities when they're forgotten about. Retail was the reason for the miss. Some investors worry it's a structural issue, but he puts it down to Covid and weather. Still likes it, but sold half his position for other industrial plays. You get paid to wait with a 14% EPS growth rate. Makes sense as long as potash can do OK and retail can get back to where they were. Yield is 4%.

BUY

Writeoff of phosphate business was needed, and just a small part of overall business. Potash and nitrogen move the needle. Price will be weak at the trough of a recession, and will recover. Torque to a recovery will be powerful and shares should rerate higher. Best thing is its downstream retail division, increasingly technologically sophisticated. Excellent business.

BUY

He really likes it and just bought some more. It wants to break out. It has a great business with both retail and potash prices have bottomed. The next 12 months look better than the last 12 months. It could have a pretty good rally into the $60 range. You might want to see if we get a 5-7% pull back just prior to the election and buy then.

HOLD

Emerging countries will increase demand for protein. Long-term, crop prices are starting to strengthen. As well, likes the retail farm side which they've been growing. Attractive yield, growing dividend.

DON'T BUY

He likes their retail operations for agricultural products, but NTR now depends on the price of potash, too dependent for his tastes. He likes the vertical integration with its retail operations.

HOLD

Cyclicals haven't bounced that much off the bottom. Driven by global growth, which has lagged tech. Still a good company, generating free cash, good vertical integration, paying down debt. Stick with it.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sep 17/19, Down 24%) This didn't work out very well but they are still sticking with it. The retail part has remained strong. The commodity business has been lagging. However, the commodity cycle is shorter. Over the medium term, prices should firm up. They pay a healthy dividend with good free cashflow.

WAIT

On a longer time frame, one of premier companies that should catch a bid. Not super cheap. A small short for him. Earnings and cash flow need to improve. Good yield.

TOP PICK

Normally he stays away from commodity plays. They extract phosphate and potash and have a sophisticated product distribution chain with farmers. They have over 500,000 different customers around the world. The PE ratio is now sub-20 times, so it is a little more protected to a compression of multiples. Global populations will continue to grow and they need to eat. Yield 5.56% (Analysts’ price target is $61.07)

DON'T BUY

He avoids agricultural stocks, because the weather (drought, flood) can influence a company and its input and output costs. NTR is consolidating a lot of the industry, but he avoids commodities. Commodities surge when a country goes on a building tear, as he expects someday from India.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jul 11/19, Down 28%) Continues to own it. He believes in it long term. Fertilizer is oversupplied for now, though. He likes their retail operations in the west, U.S. and Australia. Also likes their digital apps. They are a big cash flow machine and pays a 5.5% dividend yield.

DON'T BUY

Earnings have been chopped 16% for 2020 and 7% for 2021. Pays a 5.2% dividend and has a slight positive free cash flow, which should grow 2% this year and 2% next. It trades at 9.8x enterprise value to cash flow, which he ranks as a B-. The yield is nice, but NTR has weak earnings growth.

BUY

He likes it very much here. A lot of their product pricing have bottomed and are starting to move up. They made acquisitions in their retail area and are now the biggest retailer of their product in Brazil. Demand for their products is increasing. Low Nat Gas costs are helping their costs. He bought a little more recently. It just broke out technically which is also a good sign.

BUY

NTR vs. Corteva He owns both. Corteva is into crop protection. Nutrien is in fertilizer. Both are strongly correlated to commodity prices, however. Nutrien pays a healthy dividend, but Corteva offers better growth and could benefit from ongoing climate change problems. Both are best-in-class businesses.

PARTIAL BUY

A potash/nitrogen producer with a retail arm. It is a diversified way of playing this commodity. It is a little more cyclical. As of a month ago, management was still confident they could continue to pay the yield. He would have no worries buying half his position now and then see what the market does over the summer. It is a quality company.

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Nutrien Ltd. (NTR.TO)