Stock Opinions by Ryan Modesto - Stockchase Experts
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Ryan Modesto @

On Stockchase since : Mar 2016

Managing Partner at 5i Research

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Stock Opinions by Ryan Modesto - Stockchase Experts

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

November 29, 2018

Market Outlook - A lot of normalization going on the Market right now. Higher volatility. Investors have been blessed with low volatility for a long while. This is kind of a reminder that volatility is part of the investment process. The US shows more average market valuations. The economy is still growing. Shorter term is surprising that a few words from the Fed can move the market so much. That is why he prefers to look at the fundamentals of a company. He prefers US banks over Canadian Banks now because of the growth south of the border. Still thinks Canadian Banks have a place in Canadian investors.
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Market Outlook - A lot of normalization going on the Market right now. Higher volatility. Investors have been blessed with low volatility for a long while. This is kind of a reminder that volatility is part of the investment process. The US shows more average market valuations. The economy is still growing. Shorter term is surprising that a few words from the Fed can move the market so much. That is why he prefers to look at the fundamentals of a company. He prefers US banks over Canadian Banks now because of the growth south of the border. Still thinks Canadian Banks have a place in Canadian investors.
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Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
_N/A

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DON'T BUY
The are in the security systems. An interesting story but they don't have revenues coming in yet. He prefers companies that proved their concept with sales. They had just an equity event that was very dilutive to the existing shareholders.
Technology
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The are in the security systems. An interesting story but they don't have revenues coming in yet. He prefers companies that proved their concept with sales. They had just an equity event that was very dilutive to the existing shareholders.
Technology
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Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$1.970
Owned Owned
No

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WAIT
Photon Control(PHO-X) 

November 29, 2018

A name they cover and like. It has been growing nicely but now that the semi-conductor space has slowed down they are feeling the impact. You could wait to the next quarter as they said that next quarter sales are lower.
electrical/electronic
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A name they cover and like. It has been growing nicely but now that the semi-conductor space has slowed down they are feeling the impact. You could wait to the next quarter as they said that next quarter sales are lower.
electrical/electronic
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Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
_N/A

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WAIT
Quarterhill Inc(QTRH-T) 

November 29, 2018

A name he wants to like but their results are so volatile that are very difficult to gauge. They just won a decision against Apple so probably will have some cash going their way. He prefers to wait until they show some consistent cash-flows. (Analysts’ price target is $2.08)
electrical/electronic
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A name he wants to like but their results are so volatile that are very difficult to gauge. They just won a decision against Apple so probably will have some cash going their way. He prefers to wait until they show some consistent cash-flows. (Analysts’ price target is $2.08)
electrical/electronic
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Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$1.420
Owned Owned
_N/A

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DON'T BUY

A company that probably went ahead of themselves in terms of investors expectations. The space has been beaten up a lot lately. He prefers NFI Group Inc. (NFI-T) much better in the space that hasn't traded this cheap in the last 5 years. (Analysts’ price target is $1.77)

Transportation
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A company that probably went ahead of themselves in terms of investors expectations. The space has been beaten up a lot lately. He prefers NFI Group Inc. (NFI-T) much better in the space that hasn't traded this cheap in the last 5 years. (Analysts’ price target is $1.77)

Transportation
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Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$0.770
Owned Owned
_N/A

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DON'T BUY
Siyata Mobile Inc(SIM-X) 

November 29, 2018

A bit small for his taste. It has insider ownership which is a good thing to see. Revenues have been growing but so did the losses. They have negative cash flow. Just from the business model not a name that excites him.

communications/media
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A bit small for his taste. It has insider ownership which is a good thing to see. Revenues have been growing but so did the losses. They have negative cash flow. Just from the business model not a name that excites him.

communications/media
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Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$0.510
Owned Owned
_N/A

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WEAK BUY
Alaris Royalty(AD-T) 

November 29, 2018

8% yield and valuation-wise they are cheap. They are in a kind of a turnaround situation now. They are now investing more in their own properties as opposed to making investments in outside companies. There is some credibility issue with Management at the moment. Higher risk name for an income name. He thinks that the troubles are behind them. (Analysts’ price target is $21.07)
Financial Services
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8% yield and valuation-wise they are cheap. They are in a kind of a turnaround situation now. They are now investing more in their own properties as opposed to making investments in outside companies. There is some credibility issue with Management at the moment. Higher risk name for an income name. He thinks that the troubles are behind them. (Analysts’ price target is $21.07)
Financial Services
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Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$18.550
Owned Owned
_N/A

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DON'T BUY
One of those story stocks that people expect big things from. It never got there. They got always negative cash flows in the last ten years except for one.
Transportation
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One of those story stocks that people expect big things from. It never got there. They got always negative cash flows in the last ten years except for one.
Transportation
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Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$1.130
Owned Owned
_N/A

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DON'T BUY
Aphria Inc(APHA-T) 

November 29, 2018

He doesn't follow any individual name in the space. Too much uncertainty. Valuations are still high. Seems to be no margin of error.
agriculture
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He doesn't follow any individual name in the space. Too much uncertainty. Valuations are still high. Seems to be no margin of error.
agriculture
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Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$10.540
Owned Owned
Unknown

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PAST TOP PICK
Dollarama Inc.(DOL-T) 

November 29, 2018

(A Top Pick Jan 02/18, Down 30%) The consumer is still there. They had two quarters that have been weak. From a valuation perspective it's trading at values not seen since 2012. Well-run company. There hasn't been a real material problem for the company.
Consumer Products
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(A Top Pick Jan 02/18, Down 30%) The consumer is still there. They had two quarters that have been weak. From a valuation perspective it's trading at values not seen since 2012. Well-run company. There hasn't been a real material problem for the company.
Consumer Products
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Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$35.840
Owned Owned
_N/A

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PAST TOP PICK
BRP INC.(DOO-T) 

November 29, 2018

(A Top Pick Jan 02/18, Down 6%) Still likes the name. Its was doing much better 3 months ago but the company kind of shot itself on the foot with a secondary offering and passed some shares at the top. There was no dilution but call the top on the transaction. They are doing some nice things. Thematically they are in the right space in terms of demographics.
Consumer Products
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(A Top Pick Jan 02/18, Down 6%) Still likes the name. Its was doing much better 3 months ago but the company kind of shot itself on the foot with a secondary offering and passed some shares at the top. There was no dilution but call the top on the transaction. They are doing some nice things. Thematically they are in the right space in terms of demographics.
Consumer Products
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Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$44.190
Owned Owned
_N/A

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PAST TOP PICK
Descartes(DSG-T) 

November 29, 2018

(A Top Pick Jan 02/18, Up 7%) Logistics software company. Sticky revenues. Good job at making small acquisitions. Still really like it. Premium valuations but it held up pretty well in this last downturn.
computer software/processing
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(A Top Pick Jan 02/18, Up 7%) Logistics software company. Sticky revenues. Good job at making small acquisitions. Still really like it. Premium valuations but it held up pretty well in this last downturn.
computer software/processing
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Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$38.380
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WATCH
Sleep Country Canada(Z.UN-T) 

November 29, 2018

Facing a lot of competition from online businesses. Classic retail brick and mortar story. They are moving now to online. They have a good distribution set up. This move might take them out of the dog house. Worth a closer look.
specialty stores
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Facing a lot of competition from online businesses. Classic retail brick and mortar story. They are moving now to online. They have a good distribution set up. This move might take them out of the dog house. Worth a closer look.
specialty stores
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Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
_N/A

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BUY
The Stars Group Inc(TSGI-T) 

November 29, 2018

Really like this company. There has been some drama in the company but has been well run. They own great brands. Starting to open up in the US. Investors are nervous on the debt load. But they have paid down their debt before. Good valuation for a leader in the online gambling.
Business Services
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Really like this company. There has been some drama in the company but has been well run. They own great brands. Starting to open up in the US. Investors are nervous on the debt load. But they have paid down their debt before. Good valuation for a leader in the online gambling.
Business Services
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Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$25.690
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Alcanna(CLIQ-T) 

November 29, 2018

Pot retail and alcohol retail. Interesting as it has exposure to the marijuana space without the higher valuation. Even as he doesn't like the sector in general this is a good way to dip your toes in it.
merchandising/lodging
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Pot retail and alcohol retail. Interesting as it has exposure to the marijuana space without the higher valuation. Even as he doesn't like the sector in general this is a good way to dip your toes in it.
merchandising/lodging
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0 comments
Ryan Modesto

Managing P, 5i Research...

Price Price
$7.200
Owned Owned
_N/A

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