Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

At a $200 billion capex, what is their ROI? Free cash flow is declining, but AWS is re-accelerating with a 24% return (21% expected). They overhired during the pandemic and just cut 16,000 jobs. AI is driving 22% of AWS's growth. Time will tell how these numbers play out, but are facing the right way.

They will have a good quarter eventually and will excite the market. They are so dominant. The job cuts will benefit numbers, and their PE is coming down.

Is not selling here, but is looking for an exit, because it underperformed all of 2025. Their cloud business could benefit from AI, but will need to keep spending on it which keeps pushing the ROI further into the future. He doesn't buy companies in a major capex cycle.

Loves it long term. Core holding. One of the best names among the hyperscalers. If your view is that AI will disrupt every single business out there, you need the type of ecosystem support that you get from AWS. Encompasses more than 50% of online retail sales.

To start 2026, they projected positive free cash flow, but already they expected negative free cash flow. We need to re-rate this name.

Owns GOOG and AMZN, but not MSFT. All are spending at least $100B this year. It's going to be a show-me story. Investors really want to see if spending will result in future earnings. He thinks it will, but there's a bit of fogginess around that. 

Plus, markets are shifting away from mega-cap tech, putting pressure on some of these names. If your time horizon is 5 years, not 1, you should do well with most of these hyperscaler names.

AWS cloud services business is phenomenal. But most people focus on its online businesses, which is significantly less profitable. Likes AWS, but likes the other businesses less. While he has no problems with it, there are better opportunities elsewhere.

He's buying it here. Investors are wondering if returns will be good enough to justify all the spending. But it doesn't have a choice if it wants to meet customer demand in AWS and not lose market share over time. 

There's a lot to this business, and huge growth continues across its many divisions. Brilliantly managed. Continues to deliver double-digit growth.

It reported this week. He believes management can deliver, but you need faith to own this. It will spend a lot more on AI than the street expected. Shocking. This overshadowed positives like strong growth in AWS. However operating guidance for this quarter came in much worse than expected. He can't recommend this now. Shares are -12% this week. Their investments will pay off eventually.

Moved sideways for last 6-8 months, but then a pretty clean breakout from that over the last 2 weeks. Seeing weakness, which is a retest -- a bounce off the retest level is usually a precursor to the stock performing exceptionally well. 

Continues to be ingrained in day-to-day life. Will be part of AI buildout and a major benefactor of that technology. No dividend.

That's not how he plays the game. Many times it's reported and has either gone up 10-20% or gone down 10-20%. It's all about whether it meets expectations and what's said on the conference call. 

One of the best businesses in the world. Continues to add value. Launching more in groceries this year. Attractively priced for new investors.

It reports Thursday. It's become a battleground. When it reports, it tends to fade. He still believes in it, though it hasn't been a good returner.

Key will be how well it executes on new chip that it's introducing. Stock hasn't done that well over past year, so this would be a good entry point, especially if the execution goes well. Doesn't own, as small-cap plays should have more upside in next 2-3 years.