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NASDAQ:AMZN
This summary was created by AI, based on 83 opinions in the last 12 months.
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) is characterized by its robust presence in e-commerce and cloud computing, with its AWS division generating significant profits despite comprising a smaller portion of total revenues. The company has faced scrutiny over increased capital expenditures in AI and infrastructure, which some analysts see as both a strength and a potential concern for immediate returns. Recent earnings reports highlight the strong performance of AWS, alongside solid growth in advertising. However, concerns about its valuation persist, with Amazon lagging behind some of its peers in the 'Magnificent Seven' tech giants. A combination of high capex and evolving consumer demands could create opportunities for long-term growth, despite current volatility and restructuring efforts within the company.
Shares are in no-man's land and up less than 4% this year, but it will go higher in the future. It trades at 32x PE, and 29x forward, with 11% EPS growth for 2026, not cheap, but historically cheap. It has always been a high capex company, but not outrageously so. They put in 3-straight higher lows. One day it will break $238. Be ready for it.
The question was on adding to these companies. He likes them both. Amazon is a hybrid with its e-commerce side and web services. AWS controls about 30% of the world cloud services. Its valuation is reasonable with a low 30's P/E. Google has about 10% of the world cloud services and is trading at a mid 20's multiple. Had a good earnings report. There is lots of upside in both.
Not just about AWS, which proved this quarter that it's losing market share -- but who cares when the market's growing so fast? AWS is well positioned and it's the largest, adding tons of power and tons of chips.
Stock's up today because of a deal with OpenAI. Will distribute AI to the masses in a cost-effective way with good margins. On e-commerce, by far the best distributor of products in NA and is growing in other parts of the world -- margins have significantly expanded. Trades more cheaply than WMT, COST, and ORCL. No dividend.
They were derided for not spending enough on web services. Then, Amazon reported a strong quarter with web services growing from 17.5% to 20% off a much larger base than Microsoft, and a top and bottom line beat. Today, OpenAI signed a $38 billion deal with AWS to start using Nvidia GPU'S now. Shares jumped 11.9% the past week, including 4% today.
Company expects to lay off a lot more people in future. Not necessarily a sign that the company isn't doing well, just mean they're becoming more efficient. Some companies are able to use AI efficiently at this point, and AMZN is one of them. You want to invest in those participants.
Overall it's lagged, which is a bit of a concern. Discretionary side of the market has lagged as well. Chart shows it's broken upward trend, and you want to see it break above $240 or so (on rising volume, would be a strong sign). Expects a bit more weakness, so he'd wait. Weaker consumer demand, especially in bottom 4/5 of income earners, but economy is still strong.
He bets that in 2026 Amazon will do what Alphabet did this year and Apple since May. Is not talking numbers. No company has as many pistons firing as this: AWS, AI investments, retail business, the logistics business.