Opinions
Tony Ciero, CFA and CFP
Amazon.com, Inc.
AMZN-Q
TOP PICK
Aug 01, 2025
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Since mid-May this has formed a golden cross (the 50-day moving average crosses the 200-day) based on a solid uptrend. The MACD momentum line now shows a buy signal. Also, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) measures buying and selling pressure, and it's positive (the buyers haven't gone anywhere). Trading volumes remain strong. Prime Day is in full swing now, though Wall Street could be disappointed with sales numbers (he thinks it's too soon to tell). Lang targets $260-270, though he doubts that.
Premium contentAmazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) is a global e-commerce giant, renowned for its vast selection of goods, swift delivery, and digital services. Founded in 1994 by Jeff Bezos, the company has diversified into various sectors including cloud computing via Amazon Web Services (AWS), media streaming, artificial intelligence, and more. Amazon's Market Capitalization ranks it among the largest companies globally, demonstrating its significant impact in multiple industries. However, its recent financial performance and trends require a close examination. Social media mentions are up 19.8% in the past 24h.
Likes the whole AI play, it'll change the world. Biggest player in outsource infrastructure for computers; for example, SLF uses AMZN for its back office. Cheaper than the rest of the Mag 7. Buying opportunity and will catch up. AWS and advertising have much higher margins than the retail segment and are growing at a faster rate. No dividend.
(Analysts’ price target is $261.93)He believes in it. Was surprised by the quarter, namely AWS, the cloud. Ultimately, he likes their business model a lot, a hybrid of the consumer business and AWS. Trades at 30x forward PE, which some say is expensive. It would be a lot lower if they stopped their capex spending (on AI). There's no catalyst in immediate sight. If shares fall further, he will add.
It was coming into resistance and having a tough time leading to the report. Even if they had a great report, shares would have struggled around $206. MSFT had a monster report which raised the bar for cloud, so that's why Amazon is getting hit. He owns enough shares now, and won't add, but for someone entering, wait a few days for shares to settle.
Yes, those earnings were disappointing. Still came ahead of what was expected, but not to the same tune as MSFT's or GOOG's. Just a matter of time before it ramps up again. Will continue spending on data centres, and this will pay off.
(Analysts’ price target is $258.94)Sees a parallel to Q2 earnings for MSFT last year. Azure disappointed, stock dropped ~10-15%. Since then, it's up ~25-30%. Same thing should happen to AMZN in about a year.
This is the one of the group that's going to do the best going forward. With an understanding of tariffs going forward, AMZN will price accordingly; so the e-commerce side of the business will be more refined and its outlook better. No dividend.