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Tony Ciero, CFA and CFP Amazon.com, Inc. AMZN-Q TOP PICK Aug 01, 2025

Down 8% today on AWS disappointment.

Yes, those earnings were disappointing. Still came ahead of what was expected, but not to the same tune as MSFT's or GOOG's. Just a matter of time before it ramps up again. Will continue spending on data centres, and this will pay off. 

Sees a parallel to Q2 earnings for MSFT last year. Azure disappointed, stock dropped ~10-15%. Since then, it's up ~25-30%. Same thing should happen to AMZN in about a year.

This is the one of the group that's going to do the best going forward. With an understanding of tariffs going forward, AMZN will price accordingly; so the e-commerce side of the business will be more refined and its outlook better. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $258.94)
$215.090

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY

He owns it for their data centre build. 

BUY

She is overweight and bought more. Retail stores can't find workers and suffer threat. So, Amazon becomes the only alternative in retail. Their retail business is getting another lift higher now.

BUY

This is almost a pure-play tech stock and not expensive at 34x forward PE. They are investing heavily in R&D and developing new businesses. Lessening tariffs in China is another plus. This is cheap now.

BUY

Cloud business is the growth driver, sort of subsidizing the retail operations. Retail margins are much lower, only mid-high single digits. Using automation to try to decrease cost of delivery. Prime memberships provide nice recurring revenue stream. Investing in AI, which will benefit retail. Very well run and focused. Hasn't fully recovered from fears of tariffs impacting volumes.

In her firm's growth equity fund. But the pullback is prompting her to consider it for segregated accounts.

BUY ON WEAKNESS
Research based on Bob Lang of Explosiveoptions.net

Since mid-May this has formed a golden cross (the 50-day moving average crosses the 200-day) based on a solid uptrend. The MACD momentum line now shows a buy signal. Also, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) measures buying and selling pressure, and it's positive (the buyers haven't gone anywhere). Trading volumes remain strong. Prime Day is in full swing now, though Wall Street could be disappointed with sales numbers (he thinks it's too soon to tell). Lang targets $260-270, though he doubts that.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 16/24, Up 16%)

AWS is growing again, AI is taking share and their e-commerce is humming along. Firing on all cylinders. Like Uber, they are growing into their numbers (PE) after investing in their future.

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TOP PICK

Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) is a global e-commerce giant, renowned for its vast selection of goods, swift delivery, and digital services. Founded in 1994 by Jeff Bezos, the company has diversified into various sectors including cloud computing via Amazon Web Services (AWS), media streaming, artificial intelligence, and more. Amazon's Market Capitalization ranks it among the largest companies globally, demonstrating its significant impact in multiple industries. However, its recent financial performance and trends require a close examination. Social media mentions are up 19.8% in the past 24h.

BUY

He'd absolutely buy for a long-term hold. One of the 3 major players in cloud. E-commerce division is still a loss leader, but still such a draw and massive threat to rest of retail. Generating free cashflow, valuation has come down, lots of growth going forward. 

BUY

Great business. Has AWS, which is a huge piece of the business. Also direct-to-consumer, so that part continues to grow in this time of inflation. Valuation is not stretched, so he'd be looking at this one among the Mag 7.