
Vice President & Senior Portfolio Manager at Caldwell Securities
Member since: Aug '25 · 63 Opinions
We had a strong 2025. I think they missed the youth unemployment, and that's one of the main reasons why it went up that high this time around. Though youth unemployment reached 12-12.5%, he believes it's a lot higher than that. They're not counting people who have yet to participate in the market.
We need to improve on that. One way is to cut taxes, especially for small businesses. They're the backbone to our economy. If they start hiring again, that's fantastic. Youth employment would go up, overall unemployment numbers would come down.
Tiff Macklem has a tough job balancing interest rates and inflation (with the price of oil over $100).
AI is the easy narrative to blame. Sure, it has it's place, but it's not 100% responsible for the increase in unemployment in Canada or the US.
The US has the model somewhat correct -- cutting taxes, pressure to reduce interest rates. That's spurring growth and the economy.
Canada has announced some deals up north and overseas. But how about cutting taxes and interest rates here? Those measures alone will start promoting growth in Canada.
Overall, SU is on the right trajectory and run efficiently. CNQ does have the nat gas component, so if that price appreciates we may see a bump in the stock price.
Consider investing in both. Both provide stable dividends, backed by the price of oil. Both were doing quite well even before the Iran conflict, which has just added to the performance. Remember that diversification is key.
Overall, SU is on the right trajectory and run efficiently. CNQ does have the nat gas component, so if that price appreciates we may see a bump in the stock price.
Consider investing in both. Both provide stable dividends, backed by the price of oil. Both were doing quite well even before the Iran conflict, which has just added to the performance. Remember that diversification is key.