Managing partner at Capital Area Planning Group
Member since: Aug '25 · 26 Opinions
Credit them for not getting into the AI arm race and spending a gazillion dollars unlike at least four peers. Meanwhile, they announced enough cash flow to announce another $100 billion share buyback and increasing their dividend. Also, services revenue came in at a record high and 16% growth, their profit generator going forward. iPhone sales have been surprisingly steady recently. The valuation is high, but can grow into that valuation, say they go into a new hardware phase under the new CEO.
He added more, despite NOW hitting a 52-week low yesterday. It's probably reached peak pessimism. It will separate from the pack, because its moat because CTO's won't introduce new AI start-ups that are supposed to disrupt the data space with companies they've been building in Silicon Valley in recent years. Also, NOW's earnings and free cash flow are growing, so it's growing into its high valuation.
He bought more on today's dip. Likes it because: 1) they're past the Warners deal/distraction; 2) they've increase prices the last two years, paying paid subscribers by 40-50 million. NFLX has pricing power. It trades at a 40-50% discount from recent highs. It's not a semi company up 80% in a month, but a quality company that acts like a utility at a cheap price compared to a year ago.