Stock Opinions by Malcolm Ethridge, Mgn. partner, Capital Area Planning Group

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BUY

The one-year chart looks terrible, but shares are back to where they were before they walked away from the Warner deal. This is a great time to get in before their next growth catalyst.

DON'T BUY

They actually build the data centres, but the moment the hyperscalers say they're pulling back on that spending, watch out.

WATCH

We're waiting for their refresh, for their AI story to pan out. What's keeping shares buoyant is the anticipation of their new products coming out and could eventually lead the Mag 7.

DON'T BUY

What we heard from Alphabet and TPUs and Amazon with Trainium (their own AI chips) flies in the face of Nvidia being the stock to buy now. NVDA is supposed to go parabolic after it breached $200 recently, but he's less confident in NVDA's level of demand because of competition.

BUY

Credit them for not getting into the AI arm race and spending a gazillion dollars unlike at least four peers. Meanwhile, they announced enough cash flow to announce another $100 billion share buyback and increasing their dividend. Also, services revenue came in at a record high and 16% growth, their profit generator going forward. iPhone sales have been surprisingly steady recently. The valuation is high, but can grow into that valuation, say they go into a new hardware phase under the new CEO. 

BUY

They turned in a great report about Google cloud which surprised him. They've improved margin despite spending aggressively in building their cloud.

DON'T BUY

Meta has the biggest question mark in the megatechs because they don't have a direct link between a public cloud to sell credit credits against to offset their large capex.

BUY

Upgraded. Tremendous opportunity here. There's still overhang from a shortseller, alleging creative accounting. It's trading like it will never grow again. Meanwhile, they just added 1 million members in the past quarter, huge growth that's turning into a financial powerhouse. 

BUY

He added more, despite NOW hitting a 52-week low yesterday. It's probably reached peak pessimism. It will separate from the pack, because its moat because CTO's won't introduce new AI start-ups that are supposed to disrupt the data space with companies they've been building in Silicon Valley in recent years. Also, NOW's earnings and free cash flow are growing, so it's growing into its high valuation.

DON'T BUY

Netflix has a YouTube problem--they have to compete with original content. That's why YouTube unseated them, because audience appetite is for original content.

BUY

Annual recurring revenue is growing double-digits. Their report next week should be good.

BUY

Nearly every big M&A deal in 2025 included MS (and JPM), and will continue this year.

BUY

IPO'd last September, so it seeing analyst coverage only now. Buying will follow.

BUY

Is growing annual recurring revenues in enterprise. There remains strong demand for cybersecurity.

STRONG BUY

His top pick for 2026. Should be a great year for fintech given falling rates and less regulation and AI implementation. A few weeks ago, they announced they would introduce stablecoin via a partnership with Circle to offer global remittances, which charge up to 6% per transfer. A huge market and a great disruption opportunity due to Visa's large user base.  The deal isn't baked into shares.

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