TSE:TD

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO)

158.03
+1.79 (1.15%)
as of Jun 4, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
2224 watching
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Investor Insights
star iconJun 4, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 64 opinions in the last 12 months.

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has shown a robust recovery following its money laundering scandal, yielding strong returns this year, with some reports indicating a rise as high as 72%. Despite this positive momentum, many analysts believe the stock is currently overvalued, trading at higher-than-normal P/E ratios—around 14 to 16 times—and above historical averages for Canadian banks. Experts express caution, suggesting trimming positions or waiting for a market pullback before initiating new purchases. The bank’s U.S. operations remain under regulatory scrutiny, limiting growth potential, which adds to the complex outlook for TD. While many hold on to their shares for long-term growth, there is a consensus on the need for careful evaluation of entry points due to high valuations.

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Consensus
Overvalued
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Valuation
Overvalued
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Similar
RY, Royal
COMMENT
His problem with Canadian banks is that the earning growth is from wealth management. Markets were up last year so they were beneficiaries, but the rest of their business was flat. If we see a stall in the markets, you could see bad bank earnings. He is not buying more right now. It is the best of the big banks due to their US position.
COMMENT

RY vs TD vs SLF? He owns both of the banks and he prefers this space over the insurance sector. RY has a stronger approach on the wealth management side, whereas TD focuses on retail customers and has a larger presence in the US. Right now he would favour TD. Canadian banks of been held back as of late because of a unwarranted fear about the housing market in Canada. Dividends with the banks are great too.

WEAK BUY
A steady eddy. Own it for the dividend and safety. It's defensive. He doesn't believe that Canadian real estate is an exposed industry for the banks; good demand for homes endures. But there isn't a lot of growth to come. A 7-8% return isn't bad.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 11/19, Up 11%) It's too early to add fresh capital. We're probably looking at a rough patch for financials. He would wait for it to drop 5 points to get back in. He's generally off financials right now.
HOLD

Bank outlook in Canada He's holding tight and has been underweight banks for some time, because interest rates are low. Long-term, he's done well with TD, though last year saw only a modest return. He also owns Royal, and likes both. He isn't adding to his positions.

BUY
He is moving from US financials and into Canadian banks. They represent pretty good value. Last year you saw a rally in US financials.
COMMENT
As an income stock It's been sideways. He feels neutral about TD either way. For income, you can stay with TD is you possess strong risk management skills.
BUY
Canadian banks are safe long term and pay better dividends than American banks. If you're long-term, TD is compelling. It's well-capitalized and well-run and pays a safe 4% dividend. However, US banks offer more growth, backed by strong US consumers. He prefers American banks, but you can buy Canadian ones. True, all banks are pressured by low interest rates, but are doing cost-cutting measures.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 10/19, Up 11%) The Canadian banks lagged the TSX last year, but 11% is a reasonable return. The banks increased loan-loss provisions. Last quarter's Ameritrade deal leaves TD with 10% of Schwab, a fair portion. She likes their positioning in the US. Yields nearly 4% and happy to hold it.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 28/19, Down 2%) It's been only three months since he picked this. It remains his bank of choice in North America. Their US retail segment is their strongest (vs. their Canadian retail and Canadian corporate). So, they have three horses in the race. The best Canadian bank; you need to hold just one.
HOLD
Dividend is compelling. Stuck in a trading range. Long-term growth goal is a high single-digit pace. They didn't last year. Tepid demand for loans. Pressure on provision for credit losses. These pressures will remain for 2020. Own it with a multi-year time frame. He doesn't want to be out of this name when the next leg up starts. Banks earn high returns for investors, in a sector that outperforms the market. Yield is 4%.
HOLD
Of all the Canadian banks this was the laggard, based on price return. It is priced a little on the rich side. The yield is about 4%, making it attractive. He does not hold a large position, but would suggest others at these valuation levels (both trading on book value and yield).
COMMENT

CDN Bank shares or ETF? As a porfolio manager, he prefers to use his expertise to pick individual stocks. An ETF gives you the group and no ability to outperform. Canadian banks are favorable over US counterparts he thinks, including the higher yield. He likes BNS and RY. He does not hold much in TD at the moment. He holds about 20% of his portfolio in banks.

TOP PICK
True, the Canadian banks haven't done well, but TD trades at 1.6x book, pays a 4% dividend yield, and trades at 10.6x earnings. There won't be much topline growth, but more bottom line due to cost savings. Volatility over loan losses should calm. TD sold off TD Ameritrade. They can expand in the US even more, already a great franchise there, and increase returns. The bad news is already in the bank stocks. (Analysts’ price target is $79.00)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 15/19, Up 9%) It was a bit disappointing in a year when the market did over 20%. It under-performed and is due for a reversion. The yield will be at the 4.5% area after the upcoming dividend increase. There is potential for them to do well in this environment.
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