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TSE:TD
This summary was created by AI, based on 52 opinions in the last 12 months.
Experts share a mixed outlook on Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD), noting its recent recovery from a money-laundering scandal and strong performance in capital markets and wealth management. However, many express concerns about the stock's current valuation, which they deem high compared to historical averages. While TD has benefited from a favorable economic environment and regulatory support, several experts recommend trimming positions to capture profits or reallocating into more undervalued opportunities. Despite some strong earnings announcements indicating solid fundamentals, there is caution about the growth potential due to ongoing compliance issues and the impact of interest rates on the Canadian economy. Overall, TD is viewed as a resilient player in the Canadian banking sector, yet the optimism is tempered by valuation concerns.
It's his biggest bank holding, which he considers a North American bank. All Canadian banks have suffered from low interest rates; they're rangebound. But he's sticking with this, because the US economy is still sound where TD has half its business. TD acquired US companies at a good price. 18 months from now, TD will be much higher. He also like JPM.
How long can this bull market last? Cyclical bull markets last 24-36 months between major corrections, and we cleared one at the start-2019. Secular bull markets run 15-18 years with interruptions like 2014-5 and 2018. In 1981, the baby boomers hit peak investing years and they peaked out in 2000 which was the end of that secular bull market. The millennials are a bigger group than the boomers--and they've just hit the same point as 1981. So, this secular bull run could stretch into the 2030s. Crashes happen, but don't last. He predicts two years ahead of clear sailing. A generation low in interest rates help. TD will be fine, but he prefers JPM or BAC.
RY vs TD vs SLF? He owns both of the banks and he prefers this space over the insurance sector. RY has a stronger approach on the wealth management side, whereas TD focuses on retail customers and has a larger presence in the US. Right now he would favour TD. Canadian banks of been held back as of late because of a unwarranted fear about the housing market in Canada. Dividends with the banks are great too.