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Stock Opinions by Brett Girard, CPA, CA, CFA

COMMENT
Investors should brace themselves for market volatility as interest rates & inflation rise. Invasion of Ukraine presenting investors with market uncertainty. Inflation @ 10% in USA & 6-7% in Canada, not an unreasonable prediction.
Unknown
COMMENT
Investors can protect themselves from volatility with good portfolio management (balanced sectors). High risk investors could look towards Europe with recent selloff. Technology companies still overvalued, but opportunities in individual companies. Business models that can raise prices are good protection against inflation (high quality brands etc.).
Unknown
TOP PICK
Excellent management with Prem Watsa. 2021 a turning point in the business (net earnings up 15x, revenues up 34%). Struggling company that has turned the corner. Insurance business that is able to raise prices. Insurance float is positively affected by increase in interest rates.
insurance
TOP PICK
Regulated monopoly that has strong business model and pricing power. Supply chain issues creating opportunities for business (high demand for rail). High commodity exposure (oil and grains). Strong environmental aspect (less fuel used than cars & trucks). Increasing divided and strong balance sheet. Good stock to hold.
Transportation
TOP PICK
Danish biotech company. Company that enabling consumers to transition to greener options. Less dependent on traditional energy sources. Would recommend buying.
chemicals
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 29/21, Up 25%) Very well run company with excellent management team. Core name in portfolio. Best in class name in terms of assets. Good hedge against inflation with assets owned. No plans in selling shares. Long term hold. Talk of spinning off section of business, has caused share price to rise.
management / diversified
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 29/21, Up 8%) Company hasn't preformed as well as expected. Problems with supply chain issues. Financial metrics very strong (balance sheet etc.). Will continue to hold and buy more shares.
electrical / electronic
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 29/21, Up 10%) Company was impacted by Covid-19 (elective procedures reduced). As pandemic recedes, business will improve. Expecting, A&D, further acquisitions and continued growth. Trading at 26x earnings (P/E) which is a fair valuation. Would buy more shares and hold.
biotechnology / pharmaceutical
DON'T BUY
Company that prepares high end frozen foods (TV dinners etc.). Headwind for company is that economy is re-opening (consumers going out more). Earnings guidance not great. Look for bigger brand that has higher marketing budget.
Consumer Products
DON'T BUY
Stock price has done well through pandemic. Lots of people buying and selling bonds. As pandemic recedes, people not trading as much. More headwinds than tailwinds for company. Would not recommend buying.
Financial Services
DON'T BUY
Canadian listed REIT. Office properties. Challenge with business model is that lots of leverage not good in rising interest rate environment. Cost of capital increasing (not good for long term earnings). Not a good company to own now. Wait until interest rates stabilize before buying.
REAL ESTATE
BUY
Conclusion to buy now/pay later programs is that they are not a threat. Not worried about competitors (Block, PayPal etc.) Earnings and share price still strong. Travel opening up as pandemic recedes, which is good for business.
other services
COMMENT
Leading manufacturer of fuses used in cars. As electronic vehicles are more widely used, company will benefit. Recent selloff in shares presenting good buying opportunity. Current 18x P/E is a reasonable valuation. Long term hold and currently owns shares.
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS
DON'T BUY
Increase in Federal defensive spending might be positive. Doesn't understand business. Thinks there are better options for investors.
Defense
DON'T BUY
Company run by excellent management team (Jack Dorsey). Challenge for company is that cryptocurrency trading not as robust. Competitors such as VISA taking investment away from company. Would rather invest in VISA and Mastercard.
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