TSE:TD

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO)

171.48
+1.11 (0.65%)
as of Sep 18, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
2220 watching
0
BUY
A dividend-paying stock Strong U.S. presence and pays a 4.1% dividend yield. The Canadian banks just reported a rough quarter; there are worries over high consumer debt, shrinking margins and bad loans. But long run they great ROEs. TD trades at 10.6x earnings and an ROE around 14x. Banks are good to own long term and can weather these issues.
COMMENT

BNS or TD? He prefers BNS over TD. TD is more of a play on the US and he wants a bank with the least exposure in Canada.

BUY
Better than Royal Bank? Recent bank weakness is due to Canadian debt levels and a tick-up in non-performing loans. But these banks are very well-capitalized and Canada is a growing place due to immigration. He likes the banks as a group, and investors will earn a decent return as long as they can deal with an earnings downdraft if the economy pulls back in the future.
HOLD
A solid bank, but he's cautious about the whole sector. TD leads this sector and is a safe bet. Capital markets are fine, though organic growth rate will slow. They need to continue investing in technology. The dividend is safe and will continue to rise in coming years. Hold TD for the long term, but profits will come under pressure for this sector in coming years, given high consumer debt. TD has done very well in the States, growing faster than American peers.
BUY
Time to buy? She would buy here on the pullback. An attractive yield. Their loan provisions are increasing to 0.5%, on the higher end of the Canadian banks. Nothing to worry about. She likes their US banking operations. Earnings will continue to grow, along with dividends, albeit at slightly slower rates, she thinks.
BUY
He thinks their recent Q4 earnings miss is a buying opportunity. Excluding restructuring, earnings were actually higher. It has a strong balance sheet and higher capital requirements are a minor issue. You could buy it here and enjoy a nice dividend. Yield 4%.
HOLD
Recent pullback The downturn recently has hit the sector, not just TD. Loss-loan provisions will increase given the state of the Canadian economy. Canadians are heavily indebted. There's no loan growth now, but TD has fine US assets and they are well-positioned in the Schwab purchase of Ameritrade. There isn't big downside risk in this sector, but there isn't much earnings growth this late in the cycle. Estimates of 3-5% profit growth in coming years is a little optimistic. The dividend is safe, which you can hold and collect. You're okay to hold this. If you're a trader, though, it's not worth buying.
DON'T BUY
They had an underwhelming quarter. He doesn't own any Canadian banks now. Next year's growth will be weak. You don't trade banks, but hold them over the long term. He doesn't see a growth catalyst now, so there's no need to rush into them.
HOLD
He would not buy more. Wait for the new balance sheet. It is one of the top 30 systemic banks in the world. The US banks are a lot cheaper. Canadian banks are the most expensive in the world. Buy it if it comes back to $62.
BUY

RY vs. TD He owns more TD, like its American footprint and are getting out of online brokerages which has shrinking margins, so that was a good deal. Both are solid, but we'll see what their earnings are like. RY has 12x forward earnings, while the S&P is 17x--this means a safe margin.

COMMENT
A well-run bank with great dividend yield. Regarding the TD Ameritrade transaction, there hasn’t been a lot of reaction due to the uncertainty of what TD will do about their position. There are fears TD will lose their access to investment and wealth management products in the states that could wipe out profits from the transaction. Maybe they will take a larger position in Schwab. There is a lot of uncertainty.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 15/19, Up 14%) It has under-performed his expectations. He still likes it.
TOP PICK
It has a big US franchise. It has a great Canadian franchise. Canadian banks have not kept pace with the US banks. He thinks you will see some positive numbers when they report next week. It is growing its dividend at the highest rate of the Canadian banks. It deserves to regain some of the premium multiple it lost over the last couple of years. (Analysts’ price target is $79.24)
BUY
Your Canadian bank holdings and weighting? He owns TD and BNS (and RY), slightly overweight the TSX, because they are good income stocks and offer good stock through a diversity of businesses and earnings, regardless of the economic cycle. Only fools short the banks.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 13/18, Up 9%) She likes Canadian banks as a group The banks were held back this year from concerns over the Canadian economy and housing market, but the former has been resilient and the latter has stabilized. Also, TD co-owns Ameritrade which got hit in a rate war recently. So, TD's 2020 earnings were revised down 2-3%, but she expects TD to grow earnings around 5% this year. It's still trading at a fine valuation, and they can still grow earnings, though not as strong as in prior years. Will grow their dividend at the same pace.
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