Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO)

158.03

+1.79 (1.15%)

as of Jun 4, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

2224 watching

Investor Insights

Jun 4, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 64 opinions in the last 12 months.

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has shown a robust recovery following its money laundering scandal, yielding strong returns this year, with some reports indicating a rise as high as 72%. Despite this positive momentum, many analysts believe the stock is currently overvalued, trading at higher-than-normal P/E ratios—around 14 to 16 times—and above historical averages for Canadian banks. Experts express caution, suggesting trimming positions or waiting for a market pullback before initiating new purchases. The bank’s U.S. operations remain under regulatory scrutiny, limiting growth potential, which adds to the complex outlook for TD. While many hold on to their shares for long-term growth, there is a consensus on the need for careful evaluation of entry points due to high valuations.

Consensus

Overvalued

Valuation

Overvalued

Similar

RY, Royal

TOP PICK

It had a rare miss in Q4 on earnings. He has the most confidence of any Canadian bank that they will be able to recover. Over 50% of their business is in the US retail space. He expects a dividend increase as early as February. He thinks it should be trading about $80 next year. Yield 4.05% (Analysts’ price target is $79.00)

HOLD

It has been the best of the Canadian banks over 20 years. Banks are faced with the fact that they make money on the spread between lending and borrowing. That has been squeezed substantially. The entire banking industry has been facing that globally. The Canadian banks are incredibly strong but he thinks they will under-perform in the next 12 months. If you have held it for a number of years there is no reason to sell it.

PARTIAL BUY

Last quarter's bank earnings were weak. Loan loss provisions are starting to rise and are not offset by loans and mortgages. That's across the bank sector. The BOC is stuck: it can't raise or cut rates. TD is up 8% this year and trading at 11x earnings. Yields near 4% as it continues to grow at 10%. Buy a half position only, then see what happens in the next quarter.

BUY

He likes the Canadian banks and TD is one of the best. You could buy any of the Canadian banks. Declining interest rates has hurt the banks but the interest rates have very little downside from here.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Major support is at $70, so buy at this level. He predicts a market pullback in January. Canadian banks are historically strong, and TD has a long-term uptrend. TD may fall below $70 to $65, but $70 is a buy.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 11/19, Up 11%) He’s neutral on the banks at the moment. He wants to see how the economy sets out. Retail sales and unemployment numbers weren’t good. He would rather buy Scotia, mainly because they are outside of Canada. He would wait on the banks.

BUY

A dividend-paying stock Strong U.S. presence and pays a 4.1% dividend yield. The Canadian banks just reported a rough quarter; there are worries over high consumer debt, shrinking margins and bad loans. But long run they great ROEs. TD trades at 10.6x earnings and an ROE around 14x. Banks are good to own long term and can weather these issues.

COMMENT

BNS or TD? He prefers BNS over TD. TD is more of a play on the US and he wants a bank with the least exposure in Canada.

BUY

Better than Royal Bank? Recent bank weakness is due to Canadian debt levels and a tick-up in non-performing loans. But these banks are very well-capitalized and Canada is a growing place due to immigration. He likes the banks as a group, and investors will earn a decent return as long as they can deal with an earnings downdraft if the economy pulls back in the future.

HOLD

A solid bank, but he's cautious about the whole sector. TD leads this sector and is a safe bet. Capital markets are fine, though organic growth rate will slow. They need to continue investing in technology. The dividend is safe and will continue to rise in coming years. Hold TD for the long term, but profits will come under pressure for this sector in coming years, given high consumer debt. TD has done very well in the States, growing faster than American peers.

BUY

Time to buy? She would buy here on the pullback. An attractive yield. Their loan provisions are increasing to 0.5%, on the higher end of the Canadian banks. Nothing to worry about. She likes their US banking operations. Earnings will continue to grow, along with dividends, albeit at slightly slower rates, she thinks.

BUY

He thinks their recent Q4 earnings miss is a buying opportunity. Excluding restructuring, earnings were actually higher. It has a strong balance sheet and higher capital requirements are a minor issue. You could buy it here and enjoy a nice dividend. Yield 4%.

HOLD

Recent pullback The downturn recently has hit the sector, not just TD. Loss-loan provisions will increase given the state of the Canadian economy. Canadians are heavily indebted. There's no loan growth now, but TD has fine US assets and they are well-positioned in the Schwab purchase of Ameritrade. There isn't big downside risk in this sector, but there isn't much earnings growth this late in the cycle. Estimates of 3-5% profit growth in coming years is a little optimistic. The dividend is safe, which you can hold and collect. You're okay to hold this. If you're a trader, though, it's not worth buying.

DON'T BUY

They had an underwhelming quarter. He doesn't own any Canadian banks now. Next year's growth will be weak. You don't trade banks, but hold them over the long term. He doesn't see a growth catalyst now, so there's no need to rush into them.

HOLD

He would not buy more. Wait for the new balance sheet. It is one of the top 30 systemic banks in the world. The US banks are a lot cheaper. Canadian banks are the most expensive in the world. Buy it if it comes back to $62.

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Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO)