TSE:TD

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO)

158.03
+1.79 (1.15%)
as of Jun 4, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
2224 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconJun 4, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 64 opinions in the last 12 months.

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has shown a robust recovery following its money laundering scandal, yielding strong returns this year, with some reports indicating a rise as high as 72%. Despite this positive momentum, many analysts believe the stock is currently overvalued, trading at higher-than-normal P/E ratios—around 14 to 16 times—and above historical averages for Canadian banks. Experts express caution, suggesting trimming positions or waiting for a market pullback before initiating new purchases. The bank’s U.S. operations remain under regulatory scrutiny, limiting growth potential, which adds to the complex outlook for TD. While many hold on to their shares for long-term growth, there is a consensus on the need for careful evaluation of entry points due to high valuations.

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Consensus
Overvalued
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Valuation
Overvalued
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Similar
RY, Royal
BUY
Are there chances for a dividend decrease? He does not expect so. He is buying financials here. They have never cut their dividend. He thinks they may cut share buy-backs, however.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 30/19, Down 22%) It is disappointing. This is the bank he thinks it is either number 1 or 2. There is no question that banks will feel some pain here.
PARTIAL BUY
US acquisitions? He likes holding this and it is the only holding in the banking space they own. The correlation risk of banks to the market scares them. The US market drives about one-third of their revenue. Their wealth management and retail business sets them up well for when the economic recovery takes hold. At today's prices you are getting about a 5.5% yield. This is a good opportunity to buy, especially when interest rates are close to zero. He cautions that the market could go lower, so he would suggest a partial buy.
COMMENT
He expects this to fall to $52. Some Canadian bank stocks are moving up or down 20% in a day, which he hasn't seen since 2009. It's panic. An extreme low for TD is $44. Once the downward pressure is off, these bank stocks will rebound nicely and rapidly. He worries less about banks than tech stocks.
PARTIAL BUY

RY vs TD? These are almost apples to apples. He thinks RY is the bluest of blue chip bank stocks. Both are good quality and both could drop another 5-8% lower from here. He would recommend that you could buy half of your position here.

COMMENT
A trading platform that's better than TD Webbroker? He can't get into TD's platform. That's happening with a lot of platforms here and the U.S., given the high volume of trades. It's frustrating, but these are short-term problems. He can't recommend another platform. TD itself is a low-vol stock, but banks aren't cheap enough for him. Long-term, though, you can't go wrong owning a Canadian bank.
TOP PICK
A core holding for him. He bought it yesterday. It's well-diversified geographically in the U.S. east coast. They will be a player in online brokerages with merger of Ameritrade and Schwab. Trades at a cheap 8.5x earnings while Canadian banks trade at 10-11.5x. They grow their dividend 10% annually, the leader; earnings grow at 13%. The banks will continue to outperform the TSX. (Analysts’ price target is $73.86)
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Curated by Allan Tong since 2019.
99+ opinions with 4.15 rating.

TOP PICK
Also boring, but slightly riskier is TD Bank. Some may argue, Wait, interest rates just got slashed by 50 points and could fall further. Also, TD has a lot of U.S. operations--and growing fears of the coronavirus. All this is true, but the big five Canadian banks are still an oligopoly. Also, the Canadian housing market hasn't crashed like naysayers have been predicting for years. Low rates will limit growth, but consider that TD just bumped their dividend by 6% and the American consumer and its housing market remain strong. Americans are still buying and borrowing, and they'll do so at TD. True, TD has fallen 11% compared to the TSX's 7.8% in recent weeks, but its long-term future looks assured. TD is a steady eddy, perhaps the steadiest in Canada.
TOP PICK
A quality company with a dividend that just went up 6%. They will be able to increase the dividend going forward. Longer term, growth for Banks in Canada may be slow, but they can add efficiency from technology improvements and asset prices will continue to rise if interest rates remain low. Yield 4.66% (Analysts’ price target is $77.14)
WEAK BUY
Favourite Canadian bank. Solid grower in the US. Stock's been beaten up. The banks are going to have a pretty weak year. People are on the edge, so loan losses could increase. Don't go hog wild on the banks. The banks look interesting at these levels.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
There is support for TD just below $70. It could be a reasonable time to buy the banks in the near future. There is probably a good chance for upside and it pays a good dividend. He's not overly bearish on banks.
TOP PICK
Owns all 6 big banks. Chose it because it's trading at a market multiple, but typically trades at a premium. In US, consumer is in better shape, employment is still growing, wages are going up. Yield is 3.9%. (Analysts’ price target is $79.40)
WEAK BUY
Underperforming? All banks have been limited by low interest rates, but still pay good yields. You're not losing money in TD, but he doesn't see rates changing much. You can expect 8-10% a year, including the yield. 8-10% isn't bad. Low yields will continue to squeeze margins. Anyone should buy banks and he has no worries buying this.
BUY

It's his biggest bank holding, which he considers a North American bank. All Canadian banks have suffered from low interest rates; they're rangebound. But he's sticking with this, because the US economy is still sound where TD has half its business. TD acquired US companies at a good price. 18 months from now, TD will be much higher. He also like JPM.

BUY

How long can this bull market last? Cyclical bull markets last 24-36 months between major corrections, and we cleared one at the start-2019. Secular bull markets run 15-18 years with interruptions like 2014-5 and 2018. In 1981, the baby boomers hit peak investing years and they peaked out in 2000 which was the end of that secular bull market. The millennials are a bigger group than the boomers--and they've just hit the same point as 1981. So, this secular bull run could stretch into the 2030s. Crashes happen, but don't last. He predicts two years ahead of clear sailing. A generation low in interest rates help. TD will be fine, but he prefers JPM or BAC.

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