
TSE:TD
This summary was created by AI, based on 64 opinions in the last 12 months.
Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has shown a robust recovery following its money laundering scandal, yielding strong returns this year, with some reports indicating a rise as high as 72%. Despite this positive momentum, many analysts believe the stock is currently overvalued, trading at higher-than-normal P/E ratios—around 14 to 16 times—and above historical averages for Canadian banks. Experts express caution, suggesting trimming positions or waiting for a market pullback before initiating new purchases. The bank’s U.S. operations remain under regulatory scrutiny, limiting growth potential, which adds to the complex outlook for TD. While many hold on to their shares for long-term growth, there is a consensus on the need for careful evaluation of entry points due to high valuations.
RY vs TD? These are almost apples to apples. He thinks RY is the bluest of blue chip bank stocks. Both are good quality and both could drop another 5-8% lower from here. He would recommend that you could buy half of your position here.
It's his biggest bank holding, which he considers a North American bank. All Canadian banks have suffered from low interest rates; they're rangebound. But he's sticking with this, because the US economy is still sound where TD has half its business. TD acquired US companies at a good price. 18 months from now, TD will be much higher. He also like JPM.
How long can this bull market last? Cyclical bull markets last 24-36 months between major corrections, and we cleared one at the start-2019. Secular bull markets run 15-18 years with interruptions like 2014-5 and 2018. In 1981, the baby boomers hit peak investing years and they peaked out in 2000 which was the end of that secular bull market. The millennials are a bigger group than the boomers--and they've just hit the same point as 1981. So, this secular bull run could stretch into the 2030s. Crashes happen, but don't last. He predicts two years ahead of clear sailing. A generation low in interest rates help. TD will be fine, but he prefers JPM or BAC.