
TSE:TD
This summary was created by AI, based on 58 opinions in the last 12 months.
Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has experienced substantial growth in recent years, particularly following recovery from previous money-laundering penalties. While the bank's wealth management and capital market segments remain strong and retail operations are relatively stable, many experts caution that current valuations are high, trading at approximately 16x PE against historical averages of around 13x PE. There is a sentiment that TD is overvalued by about 5%, with calls to trim positions or take profits after a significant run-up. Additionally, despite robust record earnings in recent quarters, concerns linger regarding growth potential in the U.S. due to imposed asset caps, leading some analysts to recommend a wait-and-see approach before re-entering the stock. Overall, investor sentiment is mixed—while some maintain long-term confidence in TD's dividend growth potential, others see risk in the high valuation and lack of future growth drivers.
Big 6 Canadian Banks? Their view has been for the past few years that the environment for banks was becoming challenged as interest rates moved towards zero. The upcoming recession will make things worse. He has holdings still with TD and RY. In Japan, where interest rates have been at zero for a long time, bank stocks there have not done well. He sees the same issue for banks in the US, but feels the Canadian banks will do a little better, but like sprinting the wind. Be cautious about being too overly exposed to any one bank.
Dividend safe? A core holding for him. He still likes it like all the other Canadian banks. A good time to begin chipping your way back into the banking sector. There are headwinds, but he would continue to have it as a core holding. The mortgage space is a problem, especially when tied to short term rentals like Airbnb. He expects a price adjustment in real estate in the larger market centres. It will be employment that will ultimately improve real estate.
RY vs TD? These are almost apples to apples. He thinks RY is the bluest of blue chip bank stocks. Both are good quality and both could drop another 5-8% lower from here. He would recommend that you could buy half of your position here.