TSE:NTR

Nutrien Ltd. (NTR.TO)

107.95
-2.58 (2.33%)
as of Sep 18, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
778 watching
0
BUY

Owns shares in company and likes future prospects. Good value style company wit diversified assets (Potash, retail etc.) Well rounded business with strong management. Conflict in Ukraine and Middle East creating demand for grain products. Expanding population will also increase demand. Expecting further earnings growth. Recent fall of share price presenting a good buying opportunity. Massive moat around business. 

COMMENT

Has come way off its high. Fertilizer prices have not risen as hoped. Remains a good agriculture company. Benefits from its retail operations. But margins are thin given input costs. If this improves, the stock will pop.

DON'T BUY

A lot of moving parts here. Headlines tend to derail the stock's progress. Steer clear of it. Analysts like it, though, but not him. 

HOLD

Large markets for export of Potash and grain products. Overall, a strong business. Weakness on share price due to high growth expectations not being met after Russia/Ukraine invasion. However, good business to own for the long term. 

WEAK BUY

Value or value trap? All the buzz when Ukraine was invaded and food supplies were of concern. Situation righted itself, and stock's come down. Tax-loss selling in December brought it to attractive levels. Not great growth rate, only 3%. Not the cheapest at 14.8x 2024. Likes it. Buy here, it will work eventually over the next few years.

BUY

Has been buying share recently. Demand for commodities not going away. Excellent capital allocation in management team. Current price is a good buying opportunity for long term investors. 

COMMENT

It saw its present level back in June and it is back at its 2020 levels. The mid $60's to low $70's is a good entry point. There is probably downside ahead for nitrogen and potash.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 25/23, Down 20%)

The most cyclical stock he owns. Crop prices have been all over the place. Harvest has been spotty. Tailwinds include continued geopolitical conflict between Russia-Ukraine, cheaper nat gas in NA. Demand will eventually return. Add at a reasonable price, sit and wait, and be patient.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 10/22, Down 12%)

Was hoping stock would rally, but shares have not behaved accordingly. Fundamentally still a solid company. Will remain a shareholder until future of company is more clear. 

BUY

Likes it. Valuation is really cheap, around 7x operating cash flow, buying back stock and balance sheet is fine. Are vertically integrated well. Are the go-to name in this sector. Would add shares.

HOLD
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

NTR is now trading at 11.2x times' Forward P/E. In the 3Q, NTR’s revenue declined by -31% to $5.37B, missing estimates of $5.74B and EPS was $0.35 missing estimates of $0.65. The balance sheet has a net debt of $14.4B and a net debt/EBITDA is currently at 2.1x, okay for a cyclical name. NTR continues to return capital to shareholders through buybacks and dividends. The result was not strong, but given the strong market recently, it does help the share price to stabilize. Also, the expectations have gone down significantly, and comparison periods will get easier going forward. P/E is attractive at 11X. 
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HOLD

Seasonally, fertilizer stocks do well now September to November, because cash flow hits the farmers and then they spend on fertilizer. But, this is not happening with NTR now. The chart keeps sinking. He likes the ag sector, but this chart doesn't call to him.

BUY

Owns shares in company. Volatility due to conflict in Ukraine. Exports out of Europe still going ahead. Demand for products very strong. Global population growth will support business model. Recent share price a good place to buy. 

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Apprehension is that it's going to whip around quite a bit. Likes what they do. Big overhang is what BHP is going to do with Jansen going ahead. If your heart is set, wait for weakness.

TOP PICK

He's traded this, and just rebought it a few months ago. If it holds the last low of $75, he will continue adding shares.

(Analysts’ price target is $101.82)
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