
TSE:NTR
Value or value trap? All the buzz when Ukraine was invaded and food supplies were of concern. Situation righted itself, and stock's come down. Tax-loss selling in December brought it to attractive levels. Not great growth rate, only 3%. Not the cheapest at 14.8x 2024. Likes it. Buy here, it will work eventually over the next few years.
The most cyclical stock he owns. Crop prices have been all over the place. Harvest has been spotty. Tailwinds include continued geopolitical conflict between Russia-Ukraine, cheaper nat gas in NA. Demand will eventually return. Add at a reasonable price, sit and wait, and be patient.
NTR is now trading at 11.2x times' Forward P/E. In the 3Q, NTR’s revenue declined by -31% to $5.37B, missing estimates of $5.74B and EPS was $0.35 missing estimates of $0.65. The balance sheet has a net debt of $14.4B and a net debt/EBITDA is currently at 2.1x, okay for a cyclical name. NTR continues to return capital to shareholders through buybacks and dividends. The result was not strong, but given the strong market recently, it does help the share price to stabilize. Also, the expectations have gone down significantly, and comparison periods will get easier going forward. P/E is attractive at 11X.
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Owns shares in company and likes future prospects. Good value style company wit diversified assets (Potash, retail etc.) Well rounded business with strong management. Conflict in Ukraine and Middle East creating demand for grain products. Expanding population will also increase demand. Expecting further earnings growth. Recent fall of share price presenting a good buying opportunity. Massive moat around business.