
TSE:NTR
Buy now or in the fall? Not really happy with the marriage, liked them more as independent companies. Good asset distribution around world is bound to grow, well run, good resource potential. Doesn’t know about seasonality. There’s a fly in the ointment regarding tariffs. For example, soybean prices are at 10-year low. Be a little bit cautious now. Anything that affects price of basic food commodities will affect the demand for fertilizer. Yield of 3%.
It stumbled after the merger. The stock bottomed in late-February. It's an okay stock. That's all. It's risen on the backs of commodity prices, but it's trading at 23x current earnings which is too rich for a commodity play. Also, we don't know where it fits in the new tariff world. Trim if you own it. Don't buy.
The merger has created a giant in North American fertilizer. The stock has moved up because oil and corn have; corn is ethanol which competes with gasoline, and potash (Nutrien) fertilizes corn. NTR pays a decent dividend, but doesn't offer much revenue growth and he doesn't see demand around the world rising--corn prices are down. Farming
isn't as profitable as it used to. Hold if you own it, but don't run out and buy this. There's an oversupply of potash.
She owned Agrium and held onto it when it merged into Nutrien. She thinks prices of potash are low and will rise. She likes their retail presence and their plans to expand this in the US and Australia. This provides a more stable revenue stream. Nutrien is also creating private label products which offer higher margins.