Nutrien Ltd. (NTR.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Nutrien Ltd. (NTR.TO)

93.63

-2.26 (2.36%)

as of Jun 5, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

778 watching

Investor Insights

Jun 6, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 24 opinions in the last 12 months.

Nutrien Ltd. (NTR-T) has garnered attention from various analysts, and while opinions vary, there is a general consensus on its potential for long-term growth. Despite facing temporary pressures from geopolitical factors and commodity price fluctuations, many experts highlight its dominance in the North American fertilizer market and robust dividend sustainability supported by its retail business. The overall sentiment suggests that current dips present favorable buying opportunities, with some analysts anticipating uptrends in fertilizer prices and positive EPS growth. A few express concerns regarding near-term supply constraints, yet the long-term outlook remains optimistic, bolstered by the need for fertilizers in global agriculture. As commodity prices show signs of stabilizing, Nutrien's operational strategies and market position appear to contribute positively to its growth trajectory.

Consensus

Buy

Valuation

Fair Value

Similar

ADM

HOLD

Missed earnings by a penny, revenue up 7.4% but missed by 20M. They have cash to make acquisitions, increased the dividend. Coming into a new season, so we'll have to see how the weather turns out. Has no problem with it at the $70 level. Will flatline for a bit, until commodity prices go higher or something else happens.

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TOP PICK

The Potash and Agrium merger. They netted about $5.2 billion in cash following the regulatory requirement to sell off some assets. They are also targeting synergy economies of $500-600 million. Potash prices look to be stable, but new capacity is coming from Russia. Management has learned to watch pricing for their product to maintain margins. The retail business, now accounting for 35% of revenue, will grow in the US and Brazil. The dividend grew last year and they have announced a share buy back program. Yield 3.17% (Analysts’ price target is $81.89)

BUY

Solid business. They're the biggest potash supplier in the world. They've gone into retail. After a downturn in recent years, they're slowing coming out of it. There are supply issues from other suppliers, though. It's a solid name in this space. Depending on how things go with China (a big postash buyer), NTR should do well in the next few years. This is a long-term buy.

TOP PICK

The merger of Potash Corp and Agrium. He likes the outlook following earlier concerns of a weak planting season. He likes the strength of the balance sheet. He thinks the dividend will keep going up. Yield 3.4% (Analysts’ price target is $82.50)

HOLD

Does have seasonality, it depend on when the farmers buy. Fall tends to be weaker, and then picks up in Q4. EBITDA since the merger has been going well. Potash prices have started to rise. But farmers have started using satellite imaging, so they don't need as much fertilizer as they used to. It's in his TFSAs, with consistent dividend growth over time. It's cyclical. Commodity price is holding steady and starting to rise, which will be beneficial. Yield is 3.7%. (Analysts’ price target is $82.52)

TOP PICK

It's bouncing off its bottom of $60. NTR is a stable way to place a volatile space, given its vast size. Expects the 3.5% dividend to rise this year by 8-10%. Potash demand is stable. Great managers. A long-term buy. (Analysts’ price target is $82.55)

DON'T BUY

We had a round trip, going up and down. But AG stocks tend to be weak this time of year. Farmers get their money in the last quarter of the year and don't spend it right now. Once we get past the fourth quarter grain prices get softer. This is not the time.

COMMENT

The leading way way to play phosphates and potash in North America. He likes NTR, but because he's a mid-cap manager (and NTR is large cap) he prefers IFOS-X in this space within this cycle.

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COMMENT

NTR or WEF? He would prefer NTR-T as he believes it will eventually be back to making money. He thinks deforestation is one of the biggest contributors to greenhouse gas emissions. There is only so much arable land and thinks NTR-T will benefit the most.

WATCH

It dropped off and came back to $66. The downtrend is probably broken. It will probably go sideways until it breaks through $66 and then go further.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 09/18, Up 4%) They merged with Potash a year ago. Well positioned as crop prices have held. The largest potash producer and there is increasing demand for it. Their retail side is around 35% of their operations. Attractive yield of 3.5% and they are doing some share buy backs. Attractive entry point.

TOP PICK

It's a way to get growth that isn't directly tied to the business cycle. They have their own fertilizer cycle. They just sold pieces of other businesses to raise $5 billion cash used to pay down debt. They've raised their dividend and are buying back stock. Pays a 3.5 % dividend. Good entry point now. (Analysts’ price target is $84.29)

TOP PICK

It is the premier agriculture commodity stock in the world. He likes it because the outlook for potash prices is good. They had a poor fall planting in the Midwest in south and the stock came off but he sees a good spring planting so it will be a good time to buy. (Analysts’ price target is $84.20)

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Nov 30/17, Up 12%) There are $500 million of synergies up for grabs after the big merger, which could even be higher. They are ahead of plan in synergizing. Also are selling $5 billion of non-core assets. This week in Chile, they just sold a lithium mine, generating $4 billion in cash that'll go to share buybacks and dividends. There are big gains still to come.

BUY

It's interesting now. Anytime you see an industry go through a down cycle as long as this, then a merger of two big players, that's usually positive. He likes this long-term, but short-term he expects a recession. He owns a little of this.

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Nutrien Ltd. (NTR.TO)