Stock Opinions by Jon Vialoux - Stockchase Experts
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Jon Vialoux @

On Stockchase since : Jan 2013

Research Analyst at CastleMoore Inc.

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Stock Opinions by Jon Vialoux - Stockchase Experts

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

November 23, 2018

He's embracing this volatility. He raised a lot of cash before the fall dip and bought aggressively. He even called for a drop in oil. Oil had plunged because of a supply glut. But we are now at a turning point. Supplies usually rise in mid-November, then decline to year's end. We should've seen stablility around $55, but we broke below that. Seasonal weakness usually ends around early-December.
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He's embracing this volatility. He raised a lot of cash before the fall dip and bought aggressively. He even called for a drop in oil. Oil had plunged because of a supply glut. But we are now at a turning point. Supplies usually rise in mid-November, then decline to year's end. We should've seen stablility around $55, but we broke below that. Seasonal weakness usually ends around early-December.
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

November 23, 2018

Why is a 200-day moving average so important? Instead of looking at daily swings, investors can look at this. Long-term investors should look at the 200-day. Intermediate ones, the 50-day. Short-term ones, the 20-day. The markets have traded below the 200-day, which means upward resistance. If this stretches too far above or below means the price could mean-reverts, which spells opportunity, as in January 2018 when the average shot up, then suddenly corrected. Recently, we could be seeing a trend of lower-lows and -highs. Watch the 200-day closely, because if it doesn't break above that, we could see pain ahead.
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Why is a 200-day moving average so important? Instead of looking at daily swings, investors can look at this. Long-term investors should look at the 200-day. Intermediate ones, the 50-day. Short-term ones, the 20-day. The markets have traded below the 200-day, which means upward resistance. If this stretches too far above or below means the price could mean-reverts, which spells opportunity, as in January 2018 when the average shot up, then suddenly corrected. Recently, we could be seeing a trend of lower-lows and -highs. Watch the 200-day closely, because if it doesn't break above that, we could see pain ahead.
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WATCH
Chorus Aviation Inc(CHR-T) 

November 23, 2018

Seasonally, Nov.18-Feb.23 is the best time to buy/hold this. Lately, it's had a downturn, but resisting its 200-day moving average. It's holding the middle of its down-trend channel. He wants it to hold support. Stay away for now, but maybe buy soon.
Transportation & Environmental Services
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Seasonally, Nov.18-Feb.23 is the best time to buy/hold this. Lately, it's had a downturn, but resisting its 200-day moving average. It's holding the middle of its down-trend channel. He wants it to hold support. Stay away for now, but maybe buy soon.
Transportation & Environmental Services
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$6.460
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Parkland Fuel Corp(PKI-T) 

November 23, 2018

Seasonally, it's a summer play: July 27-Nov.8 is the best time. And that happened this year. It had a parabolic run this year, and that is unsustainable. It's attractive now after a recent correction. Outperforming most oil stocks.
merchandising/lodging
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Seasonally, it's a summer play: July 27-Nov.8 is the best time. And that happened this year. It had a parabolic run this year, and that is unsustainable. It's attractive now after a recent correction. Outperforming most oil stocks.
merchandising/lodging
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$37.840
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Saputo Inc.(SAP-T) 

November 23, 2018

Consumer staples are defensive, so it's outperformed the wider market. Seasonally, it shines Jan.16-June 14. Has had a mild, long-term trend of lower-lows and lower-highs, but momentum is now turning higher. Not a place for long-term capital appreciation. This is a first-half of the year story, really.
food processing
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Consumer staples are defensive, so it's outperformed the wider market. Seasonally, it shines Jan.16-June 14. Has had a mild, long-term trend of lower-lows and lower-highs, but momentum is now turning higher. Not a place for long-term capital appreciation. This is a first-half of the year story, really.
food processing
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$40.040
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WATCH
Apple(AAPL-Q) 

November 23, 2018

Had a parabolic trend earlier this year, which means it's unsustainable--which is what happened this fall. It sold off after its latest product launches. Since then, it's seen a parabolic trend lower, which is also unsustainable. It should be forming a bottom soon. Seasonally, it's June 12-Sept.24. Q4 is good for tech stocks.
electrical/electronic
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Had a parabolic trend earlier this year, which means it's unsustainable--which is what happened this fall. It sold off after its latest product launches. Since then, it's seen a parabolic trend lower, which is also unsustainable. It should be forming a bottom soon. Seasonally, it's June 12-Sept.24. Q4 is good for tech stocks.
electrical/electronic
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$172.290
Owned Owned
Unknown

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DON'T BUY
Now should be a good time for Canadian banks; it's not happening which is a little worrying. Seasonally, CIBC does well in the first-half of a year, Jan. 14 - Apr. 14. It's enjoyed higher highs and lows in recent years. CIBC has come down during it seasonal strength (before earnings) and has resisted its 200-day moving avergage. This is concerning for the long term. He doesn't know if next week's earnings will be a catalyst.
banks
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Now should be a good time for Canadian banks; it's not happening which is a little worrying. Seasonally, CIBC does well in the first-half of a year, Jan. 14 - Apr. 14. It's enjoyed higher highs and lows in recent years. CIBC has come down during it seasonal strength (before earnings) and has resisted its 200-day moving avergage. This is concerning for the long term. He doesn't know if next week's earnings will be a catalyst.
banks
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$113.680
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
Metro Inc (A)(MRU-T) 

November 23, 2018

Seasonally, it does well Jan. 7- May 21, outperforming the market. Since 2016, it's been in a trading range topping at $46, but there's no sign it will break above that soon--the same goes with all the grocers. This sector should pick up this time of year. These cyclicals are around the bottom now.
food stores
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Seasonally, it does well Jan. 7- May 21, outperforming the market. Since 2016, it's been in a trading range topping at $46, but there's no sign it will break above that soon--the same goes with all the grocers. This sector should pick up this time of year. These cyclicals are around the bottom now.
food stores
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$44.970
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Maxar Technologies(MAXR-T) 

November 23, 2018

Seasonally: Dec.12-May 9, so typical strength is coming. But it's had a parabolic decline, far below its 200-day moving average. He expects that investors will sell between $25-35, because the stock fell so sharply recently and those investors didn't have a chance to sell. It's a buying opportunity now.
computer software/processing
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Seasonally: Dec.12-May 9, so typical strength is coming. But it's had a parabolic decline, far below its 200-day moving average. He expects that investors will sell between $25-35, because the stock fell so sharply recently and those investors didn't have a chance to sell. It's a buying opportunity now.
computer software/processing
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$22.880
Owned Owned
No

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DON'T BUY
It does better in the springtime before summer driving season. This year's it's seen lower-lows and -highs. It's below its 200-day moving average. Oil price has plunged. Can CFW benefit from current $53 oil?
oil/gas field services
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It does better in the springtime before summer driving season. This year's it's seen lower-lows and -highs. It's below its 200-day moving average. Oil price has plunged. Can CFW benefit from current $53 oil?
oil/gas field services
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$3.260
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Visa Inc.(V-N) 

November 23, 2018

We're now beyond seasonality (Aug.2-Nov.11), but Visa has done really well. Payment companies won't go out of style. It's enjoyed higher-highs and -lows. Visa will benefit from holiday shopping. A good time now.
other services
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We're now beyond seasonality (Aug.2-Nov.11), but Visa has done really well. Payment companies won't go out of style. It's enjoyed higher-highs and -lows. Visa will benefit from holiday shopping. A good time now.
other services
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$132.870
Owned Owned
Unknown

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DON'T BUY
Inter Pipeline(IPL-T) 

November 23, 2018

Pipelines are defensive and their seasonality is summer, June 8-August 31. Since 2017, IPL has been in a declining trend. At least you collect a 7.6% dividend.
oil pipelines
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Pipelines are defensive and their seasonality is summer, June 8-August 31. Since 2017, IPL has been in a declining trend. At least you collect a 7.6% dividend.
oil pipelines
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$21.920
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Canadian National R.R.(CNR-T) 

November 23, 2018

Jan.7 optimal buy date. April 18 optimal sell date. CNR has held up very well during this correction. It has an uptrend trend, with resistance at $118. It's still above its 200-day moving average. The low price of oil can pressure its business.
Transportation
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Jan.7 optimal buy date. April 18 optimal sell date. CNR has held up very well during this correction. It has an uptrend trend, with resistance at $118. It's still above its 200-day moving average. The low price of oil can pressure its business.
Transportation
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$112.220
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

November 23, 2018

The 200-day chart of the S&P 500 We're beyond the high-growth phase in the economy and now in a moderating phase. There are still higher-highs and -lows, but momentum is flagging. We're not facing a recession tomrorow, but we are definitely in the late stage of the economy.
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The 200-day chart of the S&P 500 We're beyond the high-growth phase in the economy and now in a moderating phase. There are still higher-highs and -lows, but momentum is flagging. We're not facing a recession tomrorow, but we are definitely in the late stage of the economy.
Unknown
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Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$0.000
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
It's high a slightly declining trend channel since 2017, with moderately lower-lows and -highs. It had a huge run-up in late-2017--a bull flag pattern. It boils down to a $10 move above the flag portion
Energy Infrastructure, Industrials & Utilities
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It's high a slightly declining trend channel since 2017, with moderately lower-lows and -highs. It had a huge run-up in late-2017--a bull flag pattern. It boils down to a $10 move above the flag portion
Energy Infrastructure, Industrials & Utilities
0 0 0 0 0
0 comments
Jon Vialoux

Research A, CastleMoore Inc....

Price Price
$17.940
Owned Owned
Unknown

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