
TSE:CSU
Upward trend goes all the way back to 2013. Very strong stock. Adding at these prices seems daunting, but it is breaking to new highs (a good thing) and could consolidate (come back a bit). Lots of consolidation since July around $4400. No indicator of a turnaround, so you can continue adding.
To add to a current position, plenty of support around $4400. For a new buyer, taking a position now wouldn't be the end of the world. If you're looking to start reducing, it has to drop below $4200.
One of very few growth stories in Canada. Huge success over the years. Trades at over 50x earnings. If you look at the chart between 2022-2023, the stock drew down in the neighbourhood of 20%. Challenge is that if we go through difficult market conditions, the high-multiple stocks correct more.
For years and years, has missed growth, revenue, and earnings numbers. Overcrowded. Fully priced. You could buy on pullbacks, but it could easily correct 25% in a matter of weeks or months.
Last year was phenomenal. This year a little slower, but that doesn't change the thesis for him. Still believes it has ability to grow topline and bottom line close to 20% a year. If true, in 3-4 years you'll get another double. No end to the acquisitions it can make, as well as spinoffs to encourage faster growth. Don't get too miffed about the quarter-to-quarter acquisition growth.
Great company and competitive advantage. But does the investor have a competitive advantage of knowing something that the market doesn't? Otherwise, it's already priced in. For CSU, the answer is absolutely not. Without that investor advantage, you're just throwing $$ against a wall hoping something will stick.
Now in an uptrend. Tends to make a new high, pull back to the trendline, and repeat. Previous rallies each lasted a few months. This rally is just getting started, and he'd think you're going to get a little more upside before you get the pause that refreshes. Unless you're into super-short-term trading, stay with this until it ends.
How do you know when it ends? When it breaks the last low and takes out the 200-day MA. Doesn't look as though that will happen for a while.