TSE:CSU

Constellation Software Inc. (CSU.TO)

2,855.53
+53.39 (1.91%)
as of Jul 13, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
636 watching
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Investor Insights
star iconJul 13, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 86 opinions in the last 12 months.

Constellation Software Inc. (CSU) has faced significant challenges recently, particularly concerning the departure of its long-serving CEO, Mark Leonard, and increasing fears about AI's potential disruption of traditional software businesses. Many analysts believe the company's strong acquisition model and established market presence position it well for future growth, although concerns about its ability to sustain its roll-up strategy persist, especially in light of competitive pressures and market sentiment around software. The consensus from various experts suggests that while the current valuation is attractive, especially compared to historical levels, caution is advised given the potential for continued volatility and the need for the company to demonstrate sustained organic growth. Overall, despite the mixed sentiments regarding its immediate future, a substantial number of analysts remain bullish on CSU's long-term growth prospects, reflecting confidence in its business model and management team.

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Consensus
Mixed
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Valuation
Undervalued
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BUY

Tongue in cheek, he estimates that in 5 years, price will double from today; in 10 years, quadruple. That's based on 15% compounding every year; at that rate, your investment doubles every 5 years. He doesn't actually set price targets. His largest holding at 15%.

Must look at fundamentals of the business. For CSU, haven't changed; in fact, have gotten stronger. Deploys increasingly large amounts of capital, disciplined in looking for high rates of return before acquiring. Founder-run, founder-owned. High margins. Not much debt. High and consistent ROIC. Well run.

PARTIAL BUY

12-month price target of $3980. Poster child for Canadian tech. He'd still buy 1/3 here around $3740. Buy another 1/3 if you see it around $3550, and the final 1/3 at $3325. So well managed. All about vertical integration, a great way to expand. He has a full position at 4.5%.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Great-looking profile. Uptrend since 2022, got overbought, now pulling back. Healthy right here. If you own it, hold, and look to buy more.

HOLD

With some companies, you wait for a pullback to enter but it never comes. On his radar. Small change in strategy, looking at larger deals. Great capital allocators. The spinouts can continue the work of the smaller deals. 

(Analysts’ price target is $4100.00)
BUY

Owns shares in company - longtime owner. Excellent company with history of compounding capital at strong rate. Largest software company in Canada (private). Vertical market software (niche business use) roll up strategy has proven very fruitful. Recurring revenue excellent for bottom line. On track for continued growth. Owner/operator mindset very good for investors. Company can be compared to a private equity company that specialized in software. 

DON'T BUY

Without a doubt, one of the best investments you could have made. Management is unbelievable. Sound business, wonderful balance sheet. As a value investor, does he really wants to pay 35-40x earnings for the hope that the past will repeat? Much steeper incline at that valuation to repeat the same sort of return.

HOLD

Always looks expensive. Phenomenal job of underlying business. Very well run. Wishes he had a time machine to go back and buy it cheaper.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Probably one of the best capital compounders in the world. But the secret's out. Very few years that it hasn't had a positive return. (Research reveals that going back to 2006, 2022 was the only year not positive.) Excels at small deals that private equity firms won't do, and this lets them keep growing. Spins off lots of cash. Loves it. Valuation is rich.

Don't focus on PE. There are some nuances to amortization that make earnings look quite low, and PE look in excess of 100x. Look at price-to-cashflow or FCF yield. Trades somewhere around 30-32x cashflow, fairly reasonable multiple, comparable to a MSFT. Wait for a pullback, if you can get it.

Everyone wants it, so they pay up for it. There hasn't been a year in his career that he hasn't been able to add it to client portfolios. Take advantage of volatility on a bad quarter or headline news. Don't chase, just be patient.

BUY

Very strong company with high margins and cash flow growth. Capital allocation skills very strong. Re-investment into the business allows company to compound company at a high rate. Would recommend investors buy. 

BUY

Currently in long term up trend. Very good for investors. Excellent chart and technical analysis. Is a great option for the long term investor. High margin business with excellent management team. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 23/23, Up 37%)

Likes it, adding. Keeps marching up and to the right. Executes game plan flawlessly. Tons of runway. 

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Doesn't think stock will split. Executes incredibly well with acquiring and growing assets. Price is up, but keeps outperforming. You could buy 1 or 2 shares, it's the percentage return that's the important part. Yield is 0.15%.

BUY
Time to sell?

A formula that works. Can't argue with it, just look at the chart. Really good at what they do. Often trades at a new, all-time high, and it's OK to buy at those times, because all the shareholders are happy and company continues to execute.

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Curated by Allan Tong since 2019.
99+ opinions with 4.15 rating.

TOP PICK

CSU are M&A specialists, growing by buying. Forget the dividend which pays only 0.15%. Also unusual for a tech name is Constellation's low 0.81 beta, but its high share price of $3,600 will be a barrier for some retail investors. Consider this a long-term, Canadian steady eddy, if you can afford it.

BUY
CSU vs. TOI vs. LMN

He'd prefer CSU over TOI, but you should also look at LMN. LMN has done tremendously well since it was spun off. LMN was a vertical business that catered to agri, financial services, and education.

MSFT has software that goes horizontally across a whole bunch of industries, whereas CSU is more vertical. It's been very steady, even when the market goes into selloff mode. Has 5 operating segments.

TOI is out of Europe, and more on the engineering side.

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