Stockchase Opinions

Brian Madden Constellation Software Inc. CSU-T PAST TOP PICK Jun 21, 2024

(A Top Pick Jun 23/23, Up 42%)

Will continue to own shares. Very strong business. Capital allocation skills very high within management team. Vertical integration of software business is proving very profitable. In reality, private equity company that acquires software companies. Very strong business model. Recurring revenue with mission critical functions (customers need it). 

$3810.090

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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TOP PICK

Owns 1,000 software businesses through acquisition. Lots of growth going forward as it buys more. Sees more spinoffs to come. Mark Leonard is best capital allocator in the world, and partnering with them is how long-term investors make a lot of money. See his firm's deep-dive podcast on this name at baskinwealth.com. Yield is 0.11%.

(Analysts’ price target is $5394.92)
BUY ON WEAKNESS

Founder-run, founder-owned. Very strong and consistent ROIC. Doesn't require a lot of capital growth. Uses a bit of debt, but it's done very effectively because it's able to generate such strong returns. Decentralized model lets them download capital allocation decisions from head office to the business units. Only drawback now is valuation, but quality does cost.

For long-term-focused investors, there really is no better company on the planet. High-quality, exceptional business.

BUY

She really likes it . It has done a good job of acquiring and managing niche companies in the vertical market business. Also organic growth has increased. Has strong free cash flow. Return on Capital is one of the best in the market. Scores 9 out of 10 on fundamentals.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Phenomenal compounder. Unique business model. Via its capital allocation infrastructure, king of doing the small deals that private equity can't do. Grows at an exceptionally high rate, rarely goes on sale. Look at its price to cashflow, with 3% being his threshold free cashflow yield. Right now, it's around 2.3-2.5%, which is above his buy price.

Definitely buy on a pullback, and hold for a very long time.

HOLD
CSU vs. CLS

He'd pick CLS, as it's in a nice upward trend with more potential upside a year from now. CSU is at a record high, which might be hard to get above.

HOLD

The chart shows a definite uptrend, but the most recent high has stalled at the early-2025 high. That's okay. It's consolidating. Normal. If we break the current level, we're likely in for another run upwards. Hold if you already own. If not, keep an eye on the last low of $4,500.

HOLD

Can't argue with the chart. Now hitting its old high. Sort of levelling off, might be in one of those consolidation periods. It did this back in 2022. Net-net the stock's been in an uptrend for a long time, no reason to be concerned. 

BUY

It is a really good name to own and is a champion in Canadian equities. He is not concerned about a dwindling number of software companies for it to buy and feels there are still plenty.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

12-month price target of $5290. Definitely can buy it here, but also around $4200. Don't go all in today. Fantastic report on Monday. The slide is probably due to people taking some profits plus options trading.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Really big move, a leader to the upside. Now showing signs of stalling and breaking down. Reaffirms his view that we're in a corrective phase. Moved below the 200-day MA, not a great sign. Doesn't mind nibbling here, but expects a better opportunity in the next 1-2 months as we get through September and even into October.

He'd definitely be looking to add around $4250, the support level of the tariff tantrum back in April.