Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

Chart shows the company has had a very, very strong upward move this year. It is currently in the period of seasonal strength, which normally lasts until about the beginning of January. This is a key stock in the retail merchandising side. Because it is e-commerce, he is looking for strong growth over the Christmas season.

One of those amazing names where value managers would never buy it. It has strong revenue growth. His attitude is that when you have strong revenue growth, it can solve a lot of problems. If he owned, he would probably be shaving it down. Eventually the advances will be over, but it is not over yet.

What’s not to like about the chart. It broke out this fall after summer consolidation. It might be a little overbought and might come back for a re-test of the break out, but don’t wait too long.

Anything really good is really expensive in this market. It is at EBV +9, which is insane. We have not seen these valuations since the 2000s. The market is getting very narrow. Only a few companies are leading the market. He cannot tell you to buy it, but it is working now and could go higher.

The best place to be in retail is the online retail space. They have 11% of all online retail sales. They should continue to accelerate. Their cloud based services business had a 60% growth rate in the last quarter. It is not an inexpensive stock. It checks all of his boxes.

You don’t want his opinion. They take in $100 Million and make no money. Their margin is 0.1%. He does not understand the company or the value. It would be a huge risk if there was a correction at some point.

Wal-Mart (WMT-N) or Amazon.com (AMZN-Q)? 900 PE ratio. The reason this one has a sky high PE is because they don’t have any earnings at the moment. Of the 2, this would be his preference. This is one of his favourite names. One of the best moves he has ever done is moving away from old retail to new retail. Visionary management.

That trades at 116X PE, and forward PE of 72 times. This defies fundamental logic in terms of the way its stock price trades. The market does not attribute its earnings, but its ability to grow, based on its volume growth. Based on that, this could be the right time to purchase it. The most recent quarterly results showed a 43% growth in its web services and 53% growth in its prime memberships. Already 20%-25% of all US households are fee paying members.

Consumer discretionary is a great sector. He has 25% of his equity portfolios in consumer related companies.(This is not one of them.) There are questions around this company’s ability to ultimately be profitable. There are concerns that they continue to have investments in things that really don’t generate a positive rate of return.

She has gotten to the point where she really likes this company as a consumer. However, a lot of mistakes are made by investors by thinking of good companies as being good stocks. This company is in so much stuff they are investing in, but are not making any money yet. There are much better areas in the market.

Closed at $331.21 and his model price is $92.48. The market is supporting Amazon. As long as they continue to innovate and to find new products, the market is willing to support the company in terms of invention and innovation. The downside is if something happened to Jeff Bazos, or the market demanded that they have earnings. This is an event risk.

(Top Pick Jul. 11/13, Up 20.25%) He continues to see secular growth with online retailing. 25% year over year revenue growth. You could own this as a proxy on online retail.

Great, great company. This is basically a company that created a business that had not existed before, but not a very profitable company. They keep talking about investing for the future, but that future never seems to come.

Google (GOOG-Q) or Amazon (AMZN-Q)? If she had to choose, she would pick Google. This is a great company for the consumer. They are investing in their business, but their operating margins are so thin. They have to keep investing in technology and build out their infrastructure. They offer some absurdly low prices to ship groceries and goods, which is good for the consumer, but as a shareholder, you are not really getting the benefit of all the top line they are making, because they are putting that back into the business.

As long as these types of companies don’t have earnings to support them, then you can imagine anything you want in the future. Your guess is as good as his. The problem starts to come if the company ever starts to earn money. In order to justify the price of this company right now, it would have to earn somewhere in the order of $30-$35 and it isn’t going to earn that for a long time to come. Knock yourself out, but be careful and don’t forget to take your profits every now and then.