
NASDAQ:AMZN
Powerhouse in e-commerce, cloud services, digital streaming, and AI. Expansion into healthcare and logistics unlocks substantial growth and diversifies revenue streams. AWS is scaling quickly, now commanding about 1/3 of market share. High-margin ads should enhance profitability. Amazon Prime customer loyalty. Sees 25%+ EPS growth rate. Breaking out to new highs after a tough year last year. No dividend.
(Analysts’ price target is $173.58)Poised to have double-digit revenue growth each year for the next 3 years. Jeff Bezos stepping away has been a positive. Purchases like that of Whole Foods likely in the past. Focused on where they can leverage their scale, and it will finally become more of an earnings stock.
He bought it on weakness last year, but got out of it. Can't dispute their dominance over retail and quick delivery to home. The short-term risk is in AWS, which has been a great grower, but growth is slowing because they face competition from Microsoft and Alphabet. AWS has driven Amazon's growth (retail doesn't). It's too big to ignore, but it's a trade.
Shares are popping 11% on a strong beat. He's happy to hold and not add more. Amazon's PE has never been attractive and certainly is not now. He was concerned about their cloud business, but it's fine. He's less concerned with their retail business. The bar was set pretty low, and shares are still far off its highs.
Operating margins came in 3x better than expectations. There were strong results in this report and investors have been waiting a long time for that. Earnings have been suppressed by all their reinvestments and this will continue. Amazon won't be greatly impacted by moves in interest rates, though the sector has. This will rebound when we end the rate-hiking cycle--and we're near that. Amazon has more growth potential than Apple. Despite its size, Amazon still has only a small portion of global sales. Apple still has growth in services, emerging markets, but the installed base of users is enormous at 2 billion. Apple is more of a maturing company, and that's okay; Apple is predictable. Apple trades at a high PE of 30x, but that isn't sustainable for the next several years.
Over investment in warehousing starting to recede.
Growing into storage space.
AWS business growing strongly.
Good for long term investor.
Strong franchise.
Excellent management team.