CIO at Boston Private
Member since: Dec '21 · 167 Opinions
The market rally started to broaden in April-March, but fizzled in May-June. That's why the market is hesitating to rotate now--is the Dow and small-cap rally today a blip or a true broadening out?
Energy, tech and healthcare will likely lead sales growth in the second half of 2024.
Biotechs look speculative in profitability. She prefers big pharma, seeing continued value, despite big moves in stocks.
Transports haven't seen a tailwind lately. Has the sector bottomed? The timing is tough for transports now.
Second-half 2024 comps in earnings are compelling.
Energy is up 3% this week. People are driving and gas demand is up big, but expect volatility.
They're focused on their growth projects in Arizona and Indonesia, and are not focused on M&A, despite talk of the M&A cycle in materials heating up. This is driven by copper prices, but FCX is worth watching.
The buyback buys them some time, a smart move. Think of the refresh cycle later this year. But AI needs to be more relevant to their installed base to support that refresh. It's a second-half, show-me story.
There's a shorter-term trend on rotation, and a longer-term trend based on a secular tailwind on electrification.
This holds growing dividend stocks, weighted towards higher yields, so it's attractive as yields on the cash side decline.
There's a huge market for the weight-loss drug. Also, LLY has a strong drug pipeline: ulcerative colitis, Alzheimer's, for instance.
Long-term supply and demand will support energy stocks, but now the commodity is range-bound. Stronger demand from China and geopolitical concerns will raise energy prices and stocks.
Healthcare has been weak this year, but next year it can play offence and defence.
She expects global industrial production to rise and there's demand for a meaningful infrastructure build.