
TSE:TOU
This summary was created by AI, based on 58 opinions in the last 12 months.
Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU) is recognized as Canada’s largest natural gas producer, reflecting strong management and significant capital discipline. Experts express optimism regarding TOU’s strategic positioning, particularly as it expands access to Asian markets through LNG exports. However, there is consensus that the stock has been performing sideways amid heavy capital expenditures and fluctuating natural gas prices. While some analysts believe its long-term fundamentals remain sound, many suggest a cautious approach, with price targets hovering around $70-$76. Overall, the sentiment is mixed, with an inclination toward potential growth once natural gas demand tightens and infrastructure projects bear fruit.
Although they are growing their oil side, their main focus is on natural gas. They are the low cost producer so if there is a decline in natural gas prices, all of their projects are still profitable. Management team is exceptional and very shrewd. Strong experience in building companies of size and acquiring and building acreage better than others.
More of a natural gas story than an oil story. If the index comes down it is one that is a high value, high multiple and a premier story. When there was a correction in 2011-2012, the stock did get hit down to the $20 level. Stock will come down $4-$5 and at that point it would probably be a good buy. It will never be cheap. Take advantage of any market malaise in the next few months.
About 80% natural gas. Management was in a private shelf which gave them the advantage of buying a lot of acreage in some of the very best areas of Alberta. Recently down about 10% along with other natural gas names due to short-term weakness. Really compelling especially if you can average down over the next few weeks. Trading at around 9X 2014 cash flow compared to 12-14 times in the past.
What should retail investors pay attention to or ask questions about at their annual meeting next week? You should ask them when they are going to sell the company. They’ve done a great job and this is one of the best performing stocks. They can continue to grow the company for several more years. His view is that the company does get sold at some point in time in the next year or so.
Look at net asset value. Strong growth over the next few years. Great management. Expensive stock. Use price and net asset value to determine value. There are other names he would buy at this level in the energy space. He would add at the $37 level.