
TSE:TOU
This summary was created by AI, based on 58 opinions in the last 12 months.
Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU) is recognized as Canada’s largest natural gas producer, reflecting strong management and significant capital discipline. Experts express optimism regarding TOU’s strategic positioning, particularly as it expands access to Asian markets through LNG exports. However, there is consensus that the stock has been performing sideways amid heavy capital expenditures and fluctuating natural gas prices. While some analysts believe its long-term fundamentals remain sound, many suggest a cautious approach, with price targets hovering around $70-$76. Overall, the sentiment is mixed, with an inclination toward potential growth once natural gas demand tightens and infrastructure projects bear fruit.
Cash flow is going to double this year. That is huge. They have found new ways to tweak old reservoirs through pad drilling, new science, and fracking. They are targeting formations where there is a lot of condensate which is very valuable. This company has a growing production from condensate. Only 10 times cash flow. It is cheap.
One of his largest holdings. If you own, don’t sell your core position until something structurally changes with the company from an earnings/production operational update issue. He has trimmed along the way just to keep his portfolio percentages intact, but is quite long on the stock and continues to like it. If you don’t own, he would recommend buying it as one of your key names in your basket of natural gas exposure in Canada. He could see 15%-20% upside this year. Tailwind on this story is not only their operational excellence, but also the natural gas price.
(A Top Pick April 17/13. Up 33.45%.) Even though there seems to be a weakness in the commodity of natural gas, you can still make money in a company that produces the commodity. This is heavily weighted towards natural gas. What he likes is that you are buying into the best management team in the business when it comes to natural gas and sitting on some of the best acreage in Canada. Their production rate far exceeds the national average. Thinks they will be able to grow production by 70% this year and upwards of 35% in 2015. He has the stock valued at roughly 6.7X next year’s enterprise value cash flow. Historically this company trades at about 8. As we get closer to year end, people will realize just how cheap it is and he is expecting it to be a $60 stock
(Top Pick Apr 17/13, Up 49.31%) Beneficiary of extraordinary success through the drill bit and strength in Canadian Nat Gas pricing. They are 50% exposed and the rest is hedged. More cash flow means more money to spend and it will lead to a higher multiple. Great management team with heavy ownership and the commodity is helping them out now as well.