
TSE:TOU
This summary was created by AI, based on 61 opinions in the last 12 months.
Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU), Canada's largest natural gas producer, is currently experiencing mixed reviews from analysts. While many highlight its strong management, solid fundamentals, and the strategic advantages from the LNG Canada project, concerns about capex spending and low prices for natural gas in Western Canada remain pertinent. Analysts express a cautious optimism, noting the potential for future price appreciation as LNG capacities ramp up. The stock has shown a consistent trading range, suggesting it may be a suitable buy at lower points within this range, but there is skepticism regarding near-term performance. The general sentiment reflects a waiting game as many investors anticipate stronger natural gas prices and believe that TOU will eventually benefit from long-term structural shifts in the energy market.
One of his largest holdings. If you own, don’t sell your core position until something structurally changes with the company from an earnings/production operational update issue. He has trimmed along the way just to keep his portfolio percentages intact, but is quite long on the stock and continues to like it. If you don’t own, he would recommend buying it as one of your key names in your basket of natural gas exposure in Canada. He could see 15%-20% upside this year. Tailwind on this story is not only their operational excellence, but also the natural gas price.
(A Top Pick April 17/13. Up 33.45%.) Even though there seems to be a weakness in the commodity of natural gas, you can still make money in a company that produces the commodity. This is heavily weighted towards natural gas. What he likes is that you are buying into the best management team in the business when it comes to natural gas and sitting on some of the best acreage in Canada. Their production rate far exceeds the national average. Thinks they will be able to grow production by 70% this year and upwards of 35% in 2015. He has the stock valued at roughly 6.7X next year’s enterprise value cash flow. Historically this company trades at about 8. As we get closer to year end, people will realize just how cheap it is and he is expecting it to be a $60 stock
Thinks the stock has a shot at $60. An expensive stock. An interesting study was done looking over the past 3 years as to which stocks did best and it was always the more expensive ones. Trading at about 8.5X Enterprise Value to cash flow but when you look at the rate of growth and the drilling depth that they have come, they have a long line of sight to double their production over the next several years. Management is strongly invested in the company. Could trade at $60.
Set a new 52 week high during the day. His largest weighting. Bought on the strength of the management team. Could be a takeout candidate somewhere down the road. Tremendous growth ahead of it still.