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TSE:TOU
This summary was created by AI, based on 64 opinions in the last 12 months.
Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU) is recognized as Canada's largest natural gas producer and is often highlighted for its strong management and well-structured operations. The company faces challenges due to weak commodity prices and significant competition, notably from increased natural gas drilling in the U.S. The experts express a mix of sentiments, with some advising to buy at current levels given its long-term growth prospects and potential for LNG expansion, while others caution about the stock's volatile nature and short-term fluctuations in prices. Analysts are optimistic about the company's fundamentals, with many expecting a recovery in natural gas prices driven by future LNG contracts and structural demand increases. The sentiment reflects a belief that despite current market pressures, there are significant long-term tailwinds that could benefit Tourmaline.
(Top Pick Apr 17/13, Up 49.31%) Beneficiary of extraordinary success through the drill bit and strength in Canadian Nat Gas pricing. They are 50% exposed and the rest is hedged. More cash flow means more money to spend and it will lead to a higher multiple. Great management team with heavy ownership and the commodity is helping them out now as well.
Cash flow is going to double this year. That is huge. They have found new ways to tweak old reservoirs through pad drilling, new science, and fracking. They are targeting formations where there is a lot of condensate which is very valuable. This company has a growing production from condensate. Only 10 times cash flow. It is cheap.
One of his largest holdings. If you own, don’t sell your core position until something structurally changes with the company from an earnings/production operational update issue. He has trimmed along the way just to keep his portfolio percentages intact, but is quite long on the stock and continues to like it. If you don’t own, he would recommend buying it as one of your key names in your basket of natural gas exposure in Canada. He could see 15%-20% upside this year. Tailwind on this story is not only their operational excellence, but also the natural gas price.
(A Top Pick April 17/13. Up 33.45%.) Even though there seems to be a weakness in the commodity of natural gas, you can still make money in a company that produces the commodity. This is heavily weighted towards natural gas. What he likes is that you are buying into the best management team in the business when it comes to natural gas and sitting on some of the best acreage in Canada. Their production rate far exceeds the national average. Thinks they will be able to grow production by 70% this year and upwards of 35% in 2015. He has the stock valued at roughly 6.7X next year’s enterprise value cash flow. Historically this company trades at about 8. As we get closer to year end, people will realize just how cheap it is and he is expecting it to be a $60 stock
A core position. One of the hardest things to do in investing is to stay with a winning position. We are in a great market right now for energy. He doesn’t sell in May and go away. Believes there is upside in this group. Great growth and great geographical location and a good dividend. It might take a breather in here. He would continue to buy.