Managing Director & Sr Portfolio Manager at Middlefield Capital Ltd.
Member since: Apr '07 · 996 Opinions
Gold is pushing to new highs today, above $2,100. Gold has been resilient against higher interest rates and a strong stock market. This upswing, if gold hits $2,300, will give gold stocks a much-needed shot in the arm after slumping the past 18 months. Gold and mining stocks have earnings growth on par with tech stocks.
The new CEO is cleaning house. They have a dual mandate of being a royalty company and owning pieces of junior mining companies. They finally cut themselves loose from Osisko Mining through a secondary offering, and will sell their stake in Osisko Development to become a pure royalty company. The market wants this. They have a great development pipeline, a strong balance sheet and financing.
He doesn't want to see any company hold such a large position (18%) in any mining project (Panama), no matter how good it is. But a royalty streamer is attractive and FNV performs well. Year to date, FNV is marginally down, despite Panama, and outperforming peers. He expects a resolution to the Panama setback.
They had problems building a new mine involving rushing it and not properly capitalizing it. He continues to hold it. Likes that they are re-capitalizing the mine and working out geological issues. They can re-start this mine and make it more profitable than their predecessor. The rising price of gold helps.
A top senior producer in Canada. Are making strides in the last year after years of safety and operation problems. Great managers and solid balance sheet. Their free cash flow payout will go to 100%. Dividend is growing by 5% and has grown for 30 years. They are the most consistent stock in this space and the premium PE is deserved.
The energy transition from fossil to renewable takes time. That's the reality. There's plenty of lithium in the world, but how quickly can we get it to market? The market was surprised by how quickly brine mining in Chile. Also, people aren't buying EV's as quickly as the market expected. Lithium is close to the bottom, so the risk/reward looks good. He doesn't buy ETFs for his clients, but owns SQM and Albemarle.
The energy transition from fossil to renewable takes time. That's the reality. There's plenty of lithium in the world, but how quickly can we get it to market? The market was surprised by how quickly brine mining in Chile. Also, people aren't buying EV's as quickly as the market expected. Lithium is close to the bottom, so the risk/reward looks good.
The energy transition from fossil to renewable takes time. That's the reality. There's plenty of lithium in the world, but how quickly can we get it to market? The market was surprised by how quickly brine mining in Chile. Also, people aren't buying EV's as quickly as the market expected. Lithium is close to the bottom, so the risk/reward looks good.
Would've liked a better return. They're about to sell an asset which will reduce all debt and give them a few billion cash which will drive future growth. Their QB2 copper project continues to ramp up and will drive copper production up 50% by 2025. They're the copper champion of Canada.