
TSE:TD
This summary was created by AI, based on 64 opinions in the last 12 months.
The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has shown strong performance in recent months, recovering well from past regulatory issues related to money laundering. However, experts express concern over the current high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, which exceeds historical averages. Many analysts suggest that the stock is trading at a premium compared to its peers and is overvalued by about 5-16%. There are mixed opinions on the future growth potential, with some emphasizing that growth opportunities in the US remain limited due to regulatory restrictions. Most experts recommend trimming positions and waiting for a better entry point, indicating cautious optimism about long-term prospects amidst current overvaluation and market dynamics.
Which Canadian bank would you recommend? In his private client business, he owns the Royal (RY-T) and Toronto Dominion (TD-T). He thinks these are the 2 best banks in Canada with the best opportunities. They’ve done incredibly well and he thinks it will continue to do well. Not expensive. You get a great yield and thinks you will get an increase in the payout ratio for these companies. There is a great opportunity for them to trade at higher multiples than they are currently. More than half their revenue comes from the US now.
All Cdn banks are hitting at least 52-week highs and in some cases, all-time highs. That puts them back to where they were 5-6 years ago. The correct tactic is to buy the one that has gone up the least or gone down the most the previous year and vice versa. You can buy this one, stick it in the bottom drawer and forget about it. They’re raising dividends again. Have the big US presence. Best performer over the last decade.
Likes their US banking side. There was some talk that they were going to buy into a major US bank, Citizens Bank, which is in the North/East, but has 1400 branches, which might be too big a bite so he is a little concerned about that. So far the US expansion has worked very well for them. They have more branches in the US than they do in Canada.
(A Top Pick Oct 29/12. Up 26.32%.) Bought April $80 Calls at $4.75. This is a strong bank and is going to do really well. He would just hang onto these. You have until January 2015 so there is lots of time. He expects the stock will be over $100, which would give you a double on the original position.
Floating-Rate Preferred, Series T (TD.PR.T-T). Given what the market has been doing recently, he wanted to be a bit more defensive so has started to slowly build up his floating side. This is at a predetermined spread of 160 basis points over the government of Canada T-Bill. As the rates start to rise, this will go up. Paying about 2.60%-2.65%, which is more of a money market type. It is a dividend, you are getting, not interest so it would be about 3.5% of a money market type of paper.
Arguably Canada’s best managed and safest bank but, because of that, it is also one of the slowest growing because ROE is not as much as any of the others. He would choose to invest in other banks over this one, such as Bank of Montréal (BMO-T), Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS-T), CIBC (CM-T) as well as Royal Bank (RY-T), which has the highest ROE, but you are also paying the most as compared to the other 2.
The other banks are fine but he likes this for its US focus. The US in general has turned the corner and things are slightly better than in Canada because their consumer has had 5 years of deleveraging. Excellent balance sheet. Aeroplan deal has really moved them forward in terms of credit card operations. Has the least capital market exposure. Above average dividend growth and a strong operating platform. Yield of 3.54%.