
TSE:TD
Preferreds paying 6.25%? Dividends come every month, but are going down in value. How come? If this was a perpetual preferred, then even though 6.25% looks attractive, he would suspect that the mechanical movements in the market and capital flow over the last several months have put pressure on this.
Has been a very good bank in the last few months although, in the last few weeks, because of the problems out in Alberta and in the Toronto area, its insurance division announced they were going to take a write-down this quarter. The reason this bank has been doing so well, compared to other Canadian banks, is because it is more of a US bank now than it is Canadian. Likes the outlook but prefers to own US banks directly.
Buy Jan 90 Calls at $1.60. (This is for January 2014.) The stock came off today because they are expecting some losses in their insurance division, mainly because of the flooding in Calgary. The stock is off about $1.65 today. This gives you the right to buy the shares at $90. You could actually do this with any of the Canadian banks.
Would you still buy this today or would you buy a U.S. Bank such as J.P. Morgan (JPM-N) or Wells Fargo (WFC-N)? US banks, price to book, are slightly cheaper so if you believe strongly in a US housing and economic recovery, you should buy a U.S. Bank. He still likes this one, which is his favourite.
In the short term, he feels it is too expensive and that the Canadian banks could pull back a bit. This one is his favourite and he still buys for new accounts. Likes the US exposure and feels they are doing well in Canada. Good steady grower. Feels dividends will go up but not as fast as they have recently.
Likes their growth in the US a great deal. Their operations in the US have more branches than their Canadian operations. Recently broken out technically. Understands there is a huge Short position on Canadian banks out of New York and sooner or later they are going to figure out that this is totally Nuts. Yield of 3.7%.
Have a great franchise in Canada obviously, but developing a great franchise in the US as well. Have made some very astute acquisitions over the years. Trading at 10X next year’s earnings and 1.8X Book. Dividend yield of 3.77%.