
NASDAQ:PYPL
This summary was created by AI, based on 8 opinions in the last 12 months.
PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) has recently seen increased interest, particularly following a 32.5% jump in July due to a takeover offer from a private fintech company, which remains a possibility. However, the stock is considered a value trap by some analysts, with predictions of recovery only bringing the price to the $60-$70 range amid concerns about future growth and competition. Despite its relatively low price-to-earnings ratio of 10-11x, the company's operational margins have decreased significantly from over 70% to roughly 50%. Experts note increasing competition from other payment platforms, regulatory challenges, and a weak growth outlook, leading to cautious views and recommendations against buying the stock until market conditions become more favorable. Overall, there's acknowledgment of its cheap valuation but also significant skepticism about its future prospects, especially with sluggish growth expectations.
This has been in an upward trend, but struggled a little recently, and has been underperforming the market. It's in a trading range of between $67.50 and $80. If you own this, you should probably continue to hold it. If it breaks below its support level of around $67.50, that would complete a double top pattern. If it moves above its previous high, of about $78, that would be quite encouraging.
There are lots of options in the market for mobile pay. Lots of things are coming to market that are merging technology with the convenience of our money. With all these choices, we have to look at the business plan. Using PayPal is a very convenient method. However, it is a very, very expensive stock. Trades well over 40X earnings.
Prefers Visa (V-N) and MasterCard (MC-N). The biggest difference is that PayPal is not in stores. It has a pretty significant market share of mobile payments and online payments. They have some agreements with merchants that will hopefully allow them to walk into stores and use “near field communications” on their mobile device. Looking at the valuation, you are better off with Visa and MasterCard. What binds all these companies together is that 85% of global transactions are still conducted in cash.
(A Top Pick March 15/16. Up 9%.) Financial technology is a group he has been invested in for 3-4 years. Payment technology is really attractive because volumes are growing really dramatically. He is now more focused in Visa (V-N) than he is in this company, but it is a great company and a great space.
Spun off from Ebay. They recently announced deals with Visa to integrate platforms. They are trying to become best in breed. They are at the crossroads where they will either be necessary or completely unnecessary. He will want to see the fundamentals continuing to grow. He would like to see them acquired by a credit card company.
He focuses on secular or long-term themes. There is probably no bigger theme than e-commerce and online transactions. Some estimate that by 2023 there will be $50 trillion transactions online. This is one of the big leaders in the group, and have a number of different pieces of their business that are attractive. Their total payment volume in the 1st quarter this year is likely to be up 32% year-over-year. One of their pieces of business is Venmo, which is peer-to-peer transactions, where money can be sent from person-to-person. It will get a transaction fee on the way through. Also, has a business called Zoom which allows customers to very inexpensively send money from one country to another. These are all businesses that are upsetting existing industries. This company has $6 billion in cash and are growing very, very rapidly.
Chart shows a long upward move in 2017, but starting to get volatile. This year the market might do some chop (see comments under "Market"), and the stock is already seeing some chop. You have to be careful. It’s not necessarily bearish, because it could break out. If it took out the old high, that would be bullish. If it goes into a choppy period and then breaks down through the support of about $67-$68, he would probably make for the exit. Let it play out to see if it can break its old high.