Stock Opinions by John Kim - Stockchase Experts
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John Kim

On Stockchase since : Mar 2016

Portfolio Manager at Aston Hill Financial

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Stock Opinions by John Kim - Stockchase Experts

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General Market Comment 

October 31, 2016

Markets.  The top line S&P and TSX seem to be holding it but there is a lot going on underneath.  Now investors are selling cyclicals and going to defensives.  He is much more value focused.  He is finding pockets of value here but is holding 40% cash.  A Trump victory would cause a knee jerk reaction in the form of a sell off.  Certain stocks would be bid up.  If Trump got in the Fed chairman could be replaced and that would impact financials.  The biggest risk to the market right now is OPEC and the discord, as well as the US election and the total uncertainty.  The market may sell off no matter who wins.

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Markets.  The top line S&P and TSX seem to be holding it but there is a lot going on underneath.  Now investors are selling cyclicals and going to defensives.  He is much more value focused.  He is finding pockets of value here but is holding 40% cash.  A Trump victory would cause a knee jerk reaction in the form of a sell off.  Certain stocks would be bid up.  If Trump got in the Fed chairman could be replaced and that would impact financials.  The biggest risk to the market right now is OPEC and the discord, as well as the US election and the total uncertainty.  The market may sell off no matter who wins.

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John Kim

Portfolio , Aston Hill Financial...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

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BUY

It came back phenomenally with a second IPO.  They are taking market share away from Sears.  They have a lofty valuation.  At some point there has to be saturation.  Unless they go south of the boarder you will run into a wall.  Execution has been flawless up until now.

household goods
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It came back phenomenally with a second IPO.  They are taking market share away from Sears.  They have a lofty valuation.  At some point there has to be saturation.  Unless they go south of the boarder you will run into a wall.  Execution has been flawless up until now.

household goods
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John Kim

Portfolio , Aston Hill Financial...

Price Price
$28.040
Owned Owned
Unknown

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HOLD
Verizon Communications(VZ-N) 

October 31, 2016

It has fallen along with telecom competitors.  It is sentiment over the whole sector.  If you have a longer term horizon it is a great company to own that pays a great, safe dividend.  They are acquiring Yahoo and will probably acquire others.

telephone utilities
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It has fallen along with telecom competitors.  It is sentiment over the whole sector.  If you have a longer term horizon it is a great company to own that pays a great, safe dividend.  They are acquiring Yahoo and will probably acquire others.

telephone utilities
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John Kim

Portfolio , Aston Hill Financial...

Price Price
$47.660
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
PayPal Holdings Inc.(PYPL-Q) 

October 31, 2016

There was a lot of concern because of V-N and MA-N and their one click check out.  But PYPL-Q came to agreements with them.  Even with Apple pay you are seeing a slower ramp up than they had hoped for.  It is fairly valued.  It should do better as the world slowly turns over to a digital economy.

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There was a lot of concern because of V-N and MA-N and their one click check out.  But PYPL-Q came to agreements with them.  Even with Apple pay you are seeing a slower ramp up than they had hoped for.  It is fairly valued.  It should do better as the world slowly turns over to a digital economy.

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John Kim

Portfolio , Aston Hill Financial...

Price Price
$41.540
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

October 31, 2016

Banks.  C-N is the only one he owns.  It trades below book value and the dividend should increase more than its peer group.  In Canada the best one is TD-T because you have a US growth platform.

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Banks.  C-N is the only one he owns.  It trades below book value and the dividend should increase more than its peer group.  In Canada the best one is TD-T because you have a US growth platform.

Unknown
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John Kim

Portfolio , Aston Hill Financial...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
Unknown

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HOLD

They reported earnings that met expectations but guidance was tepid.  It spooked the market with a suggestion of slower growth.  Anything hinting at slower growth in the healthcare space has this effect.  Short term investors should stay out of healthcare.  3-5 year horizon investors will find this a great company to hold.

biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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They reported earnings that met expectations but guidance was tepid.  It spooked the market with a suggestion of slower growth.  Anything hinting at slower growth in the healthcare space has this effect.  Short term investors should stay out of healthcare.  3-5 year horizon investors will find this a great company to hold.

biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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John Kim

Portfolio , Aston Hill Financial...

Price Price
$103.760
Owned Owned
Unknown

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HOLD
General Market Comment 

October 31, 2016

REITs.  They trade off on long term rates more so than short term.  The US 10 year has gone from a low of 150 to 180 and this is why the US REITs have all fallen off. In Canada it is sentiment driven.  They complete with government bonds for your money even though REITs outperform bonds.  If you have a long horizon, stick with them.

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REITs.  They trade off on long term rates more so than short term.  The US 10 year has gone from a low of 150 to 180 and this is why the US REITs have all fallen off. In Canada it is sentiment driven.  They complete with government bonds for your money even though REITs outperform bonds.  If you have a long horizon, stick with them.

Unknown
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John Kim

Portfolio , Aston Hill Financial...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
Unknown

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PAST TOP PICK
First Data Corp(FDC-N) 

October 31, 2016

(Top Pick Aug 22/16, Up 4.71%) He still likes it.  It’s also a Top Pick.  It had a drop due to an insider trading case with a significant holder of the stock.  It trades at a low multiple.  It has a mass of free cash flow that pays down debt.  It has a lot of leverage but they can pay it down about 10% a year.

computer software/processing
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(Top Pick Aug 22/16, Up 4.71%) He still likes it.  It’s also a Top Pick.  It had a drop due to an insider trading case with a significant holder of the stock.  It trades at a low multiple.  It has a mass of free cash flow that pays down debt.  It has a lot of leverage but they can pay it down about 10% a year.

computer software/processing
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John Kim

Portfolio , Aston Hill Financial...

Price Price
$33.970
Owned Owned
Yes

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PAST TOP PICK
XPO Logistics, Inc(XPO-N) 

October 31, 2016

(Top Pick Aug 22/16, Down 9.68%) It was just in the news because it sold its truck load business to TransForce here in Canada.  They are a logistics company.  They also own an LTL division.  People thought XPO’s sale was at a low valuation, but he disagrees.

Transportation
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(Top Pick Aug 22/16, Down 9.68%) It was just in the news because it sold its truck load business to TransForce here in Canada.  They are a logistics company.  They also own an LTL division.  People thought XPO’s sale was at a low valuation, but he disagrees.

Transportation
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John Kim

Portfolio , Aston Hill Financial...

Price Price
$32.170
Owned Owned
Yes

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PAST TOP PICK
Badger Daylighting(BAD-T) 

October 31, 2016

(Top Pick Aug 22/16, Up 9.12%) He sold out at these prices after a big move.  It is a really well run company but has just gone through a CEO transition.  A recent article in the media was a bit narrow minded.  He took a bit of a pause.

oil/gas
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(Top Pick Aug 22/16, Up 9.12%) He sold out at these prices after a big move.  It is a really well run company but has just gone through a CEO transition.  A recent article in the media was a bit narrow minded.  He took a bit of a pause.

oil/gas
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John Kim

Portfolio , Aston Hill Financial...

Price Price
$29.090
Owned Owned
No

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DON'T BUY
CVS Health Corp(CVS-N) 

October 31, 2016

It is getting hit because of the pharmacy benefits space.  They are getting squeezed from pressure to lower prices on drugs.  Their margins on these drugs are going down.  Revenues are going to deteriorate.  The pressure won’t abate no matter who gets in.  He prefers Walgreens. 

specialty stores
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It is getting hit because of the pharmacy benefits space.  They are getting squeezed from pressure to lower prices on drugs.  Their margins on these drugs are going down.  Revenues are going to deteriorate.  The pressure won’t abate no matter who gets in.  He prefers Walgreens. 

specialty stores
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John Kim

Portfolio , Aston Hill Financial...

Price Price
$83.450
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Bristol Myers Squibb(BMY-N) 

October 31, 2016

He owns MRK-N because it was cheaper at the time he added it.  These are companies that are global in scope and will do really well over time.  They will benefit from people moving away from the device companies.

biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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He owns MRK-N because it was cheaper at the time he added it.  These are companies that are global in scope and will do really well over time.  They will benefit from people moving away from the device companies.

biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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John Kim

Portfolio , Aston Hill Financial...

Price Price
$50.800
Owned Owned
No

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BUY

If you are looking for a steady yield this one is okay.  He normally goes to the parent (BAM.A-T) because then he does not have to figure out which one to own at the time.  Each one moves slightly differently at different times of the cycle.

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS
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If you are looking for a steady yield this one is okay.  He normally goes to the parent (BAM.A-T) because then he does not have to figure out which one to own at the time.  Each one moves slightly differently at different times of the cycle.

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS
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John Kim

Portfolio , Aston Hill Financial...

Price Price
$44.560
Owned Owned
Unknown

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WAIT

He wished he owned it.  It went up because of coal prices having firmed up and going higher than analysts predicted.  He thinks prices will moderate next year and then comeback down somewhat.  When Fort Hills comes on line they will have another leg of cash flow.  It should do okay to hold for 4 to 5 years.

precious metals
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He wished he owned it.  It went up because of coal prices having firmed up and going higher than analysts predicted.  He thinks prices will moderate next year and then comeback down somewhat.  When Fort Hills comes on line they will have another leg of cash flow.  It should do okay to hold for 4 to 5 years.

precious metals
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John Kim

Portfolio , Aston Hill Financial...

Price Price
$28.980
Owned Owned
No

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BUY
GlaxoSmithKline PLC(GSK-N) 

October 31, 2016

When Brexit occurred it was one of the few that went up.  It is a global franchise.  They had their issues in the past.  It is hard to replicate that blockbuster drug.  They should be a beneficiary to the movement away from generic drugs.

biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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When Brexit occurred it was one of the few that went up.  It is a global franchise.  They had their issues in the past.  It is hard to replicate that blockbuster drug.  They should be a beneficiary to the movement away from generic drugs.

biotechnology/pharmaceutical
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John Kim

Portfolio , Aston Hill Financial...

Price Price
$39.850
Owned Owned
Unknown

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