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NYSE:LLY
This summary was created by AI, based on 29 opinions in the last 12 months.
Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY) is recognized as a leading player in the healthcare industry, particularly in the GLP-1 drug market, which has driven significant stock performance, up approximately 370% over the past five years. Experts highlight the company’s robust drug pipeline, strong execution, and expansion plans, particularly with the anticipated oral version of its weight-loss drug. Despite these strengths, many analysts warn about current high valuations, suggesting that the stock may be priced to perfection, creating caution around new investments at present levels. While the company has a diversified portfolio beyond GLP-1 drugs, stock performance has recently hit all-time highs, prompting some to advise a strategic wait for pullbacks before making new purchases. Overall, analysts see a positive growth trajectory for Eli Lilly in terms of revenue and earnings, backed by a strong market position and effective management of its drug offerings.
He owns a small holding. Likes their growth profile from their weight-loss drug; they will continue to take market share from Novo Nordisk. The big news this week was that drug shortages were over. They lowered the price too. But shares are expensive at 20x PE on 2028 numbers--expensive for a pharmaceutical. It's had a big run, so he's not adding shares, but trimming.
The question was on buying the stock, LLY, or buying the single stock ETF for Eli Lilly which is LLYH. High income and single stock ETF's are somewhat new to the Canadian marketplace. This type of ETF is a way for Canadians to own a U.S. stock listed on the TSX. With LLYH you get exposure to LLY on a Canadian exchange as well as monthly cash flow from options they write on it. So basically it is an individual stock with an option strategy. Also the ETF is a lower priced Canadian product with tax implications. LLAT is the same thing but with more leverage. You give up some upside on the stock but get a big cash flow.
Exited NVO based on stop losses. Market had high expectations, and efficacy numbers came in weaker than anticipated, sold off. LLY is outperforming NVO at this point. NVO is a bit more leveraged to the weight-loss-management drugs, whereas LLY is more diversified.
LLY has strong technical indicators, with 200-week and 200-day MAs moving higher. Still shows strength within his quant screens. Trading at 35x forward PE, with 28-29% growth rate -- pretty impressive; PEG ratio rather low. Dropped below 200-day MA, but that might be temporary. Both names have beta, but likes them long term.
The top stock in this sector, though has pulled back 20% since its August high. It got hit hard after reporting a weak quarter, missing and cutting full-year guidance, then hit again after the election with the perception that the new White House doesn't like weight-loss drugs. The street read their quarter that demand for its weight-loss drug was impaired, but he disagrees--there's no problem with demand, just a supply issue. Now, is a buying opportunity.
This got expensive, so he reduced his holding at 50x PE, now at 35x. Is still overweight this, because he believes in the GLP franchise. Expects strong revenue growth over 2 years.