Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY)

The more successful of the GLP-1 stocks compared to NVO. Decent entry point. Trades in the 30s on forward PE, so there's a strong expectation of prescription growth; every reason to believe that's going to happen. 

Be cautious on position size; don't be aggressive. Stock was down 10% yesterday because NVO made a deal with CVS to become its prime recommended product for obesity. So NVO is starting to compete more on price.

They report Thursday. Their last report laid an egg, but expects this one to be better, so he will hold on.

Plethora of ideas. Part of the story on cancer. Weight-loss drug is in the lead, and a pill instead of injection is the ultimate goal. Earnings from weight loss will double in 3 years, and then they still have all the other drugs in the pipeline. Yield is 0.70%.

It's one of the least-tariffed, least-dangerous stocks though the price is high. He sees upside.

Hold both LLY and NOVO? No. Choose one or the other. LLY sells more diverse drugs and more North American focused.

Loves healthcare for value and defense. Diabetes and obesity drugs continue to drive sales. Other new drugs boost earnings growth forecast. Sees 25% upside from here. Ranks 10/10 on fundamentals. Yield is 0.72%.

This got expensive, so he reduced his holding at 50x PE, now at 35x. Is still overweight this, because he believes in the GLP franchise. Expects strong revenue growth over 2 years.

Her best performer this month, with revenues growing 40%. Excellent balance sheet, drug pipeline and managers. She just entered this and will buy on dips.

Like TJX, their momentum is not unwinding, and shares will push to new all-time highs. It's on a streak now, of 7 straight days, that we haven't seen in 2 years.

He owns a small holding. Likes their growth profile from their weight-loss drug; they will continue to take market share from Novo Nordisk. The big news this week was that drug shortages were over. They lowered the price too. But shares are expensive at  20x PE on 2028 numbers--expensive for a pharmaceutical. It's had a big run, so he's not adding shares, but trimming.

He owns Novo but Eli Lilly is a great company in the sweet spot of an obesity drug and other drugs as well. It has done well for the last little while. Manufacturing drugs is not easy and takes lots of time from approval to production. It is a huge franchise and can grow quite a lot.

Owns this and competitor Nvo Nordisk, but prefers LLY. The weight-loss drugs have more potential than only weight loss, as they move from injectibles to pill form. The drug hasn't plateaued yet. It's the only drug stock that has performed like the Mag 7.

He, too, was looking at defensive healthcare names to avoid tariffs. But not this one. Earnings and cashflows have exploded on weight loss, but so has the valuation. Competitors are coming. Lots of pressure in US to reduce drug prices.

Consider ABT or ALC.

Long term, secular growth of anti-obesity drugs is still strong. More diversified than NVO, which he sold on a stop loss.

Loves the space and its total addressable market. But the market can get ahead of itself, and this name's trading ~50x earnings. Extremely expensive for a pharmaceutical, built in a lot of future success. He'd look for second-derivative opportunities like AMGN.