
NYSE:LLY
This summary was created by AI, based on 31 opinions in the last 12 months.
Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY) stands out in the pharmaceutical sector primarily due to its leadership in GLP-1 drugs, particularly for weight loss and diabetes treatment. Despite its robust pipeline and consistent earnings growth, many experts express caution regarding its current valuation, suggesting it might be priced excessively due to recent performance and market enthusiasm. Analysts highlight the increasing competition in the obesity treatment space, notably from Novo Nordisk (NVO), which could impact LLY's growth prospects. The stock is viewed as expensive at present, prompting some analysts to recommend waiting for a price pullback before entering the market. Nonetheless, LLY's strong revenue growth, solid execution, and diversification in drug offerings continue to attract positive sentiment from a majority of industry experts.
There was a lot of hype in the weight-loss drugs, typical for a new drug (or technology). This and Novo Nordisk have recently fallen. The future asks, How will they monetize the GLP-1 franchise? An oral application, which will happen in time. Many moving parts in this industry. LLY's PE has fallen from 50x to 35x. Is a hold depending on your overall portfolio and other factors.
A lot of the move down happened this week. Numbers were good -- earnings and revenue beat, guidance was good. Market really homed in on obesity pill disappointment (slightly less efficacy than a competitor's, 10% dropped out due to side effects). Now trades at 24x PE, with 19% growth.
Very cheap, but sentiment has become difficult and challenging. Long term, the demand for diabetes and obesity drugs is still there and will continue to grow. Industry-leading Alzheimer's drug in pipeline as well. Fortress-like balance sheet, really great cashflow.
Best among the weight-loss drugs, more effective than its peers. Also, the oral version will be a game-changer. LLY is gaining market share as its manufacturing ramps up. Shares are flat and need a catalyst, possibly on Aug. 7 with earnings. Their oncology platform is also doing well. He expects their revenues to double by 2030, based on 25-30% compounded growth.
The more successful of the GLP-1 stocks compared to NVO. Decent entry point. Trades in the 30s on forward PE, so there's a strong expectation of prescription growth; every reason to believe that's going to happen.
Be cautious on position size; don't be aggressive. Stock was down 10% yesterday because NVO made a deal with CVS to become its prime recommended product for obesity. So NVO is starting to compete more on price.
Both bullish and bearish cycles last longer than one would ever expect. Does see a turnaround in the space. This name has a very good franchise with GLP-1 drugs, taking share from NVO. Multiple is low-mid 30s, and he's hoping it'll go a bit lower. He's waiting for a firmer bottoming.