Michael Decter Eli Lilly & Co. LLY-N BUY Feb 18, 2025

He owns Novo but Eli Lilly is a great company in the sweet spot of an obesity drug and other drugs as well. It has done well for the last little while. Manufacturing drugs is not easy and takes lots of time from approval to production. It is a huge franchise and can grow quite a lot.

He owns a small holding. Likes their growth profile from their weight-loss drug; they will continue to take market share from Novo Nordisk. The big news this week was that drug shortages were over. They lowered the price too. But shares are expensive at  20x PE on 2028 numbers--expensive for a pharmaceutical. It's had a big run, so he's not adding shares, but trimming.

Like TJX, their momentum is not unwinding, and shares will push to new all-time highs. It's on a streak now, of 7 straight days, that we haven't seen in 2 years.

Her best performer this month, with revenues growing 40%. Excellent balance sheet, drug pipeline and managers. She just entered this and will buy on dips.

This got expensive, so he reduced his holding at 50x PE, now at 35x. Is still overweight this, because he believes in the GLP franchise. Expects strong revenue growth over 2 years.

Loves healthcare for value and defense. Diabetes and obesity drugs continue to drive sales. Other new drugs boost earnings growth forecast. Sees 25% upside from here. Ranks 10/10 on fundamentals. Yield is 0.72%.

Hold both LLY and NOVO? No. Choose one or the other. LLY sells more diverse drugs and more North American focused.

It's one of the least-tariffed, least-dangerous stocks though the price is high. He sees upside.

Plethora of ideas. Part of the story on cancer. Weight-loss drug is in the lead, and a pill instead of injection is the ultimate goal. Earnings from weight loss will double in 3 years, and then they still have all the other drugs in the pipeline. Yield is 0.70%.