Stockchase Opinions

The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) Eli Lilly & Co. LLY-N TOP PICK Jun 12, 2025

Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

This big pharma company has a host of weight loss GLP-1 medications that it will soon release progress reports on later this month, some of which have already received approvals to develop.  It trades at 27x forward earnings and supports a 77% ROE.  We recommend setting a stop-loss at $703, looking to achieve $987 -- upside potential over 20%.  Yield 0.7% 

(Analysts’ price target is $987.22)
$812.030

Stock price when the opinion was issued

biotechnology pharmaceutical
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HOLD

This got expensive, so he reduced his holding at 50x PE, now at 35x. Is still overweight this, because he believes in the GLP franchise. Expects strong revenue growth over 2 years.

TOP PICK

Loves healthcare for value and defense. Diabetes and obesity drugs continue to drive sales. Other new drugs boost earnings growth forecast. Sees 25% upside from here. Ranks 10/10 on fundamentals. Yield is 0.72%.

(Analysts’ price target is $1001.48)
BUY

Hold both LLY and NOVO? No. Choose one or the other. LLY sells more diverse drugs and more North American focused.

BUY

It's one of the least-tariffed, least-dangerous stocks though the price is high. He sees upside.

TOP PICK

Plethora of ideas. Part of the story on cancer. Weight-loss drug is in the lead, and a pill instead of injection is the ultimate goal. Earnings from weight loss will double in 3 years, and then they still have all the other drugs in the pipeline. Yield is 0.70%.

(Analysts’ price target is $996.37)
HOLD

They report Thursday. Their last report laid an egg, but expects this one to be better, so he will hold on.

PARTIAL BUY

The more successful of the GLP-1 stocks compared to NVO. Decent entry point. Trades in the 30s on forward PE, so there's a strong expectation of prescription growth; every reason to believe that's going to happen. 

Be cautious on position size; don't be aggressive. Stock was down 10% yesterday because NVO made a deal with CVS to become its prime recommended product for obesity. So NVO is starting to compete more on price.

STRONG BUY

Data just released says that LLY's weight-loss drug is far better than peer Novo Nordisk. Buy this hand over fist.

PARTIAL SELL

He trimmed. Is trading at 33x PE, down from 55x. Is the front runner in the GLP-1 business with 60% market share.