TSE:CP

Canadian Pacific Rail (CP.TO)

124.52
+1.21 (0.98%)
as of Jul 31, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
640 watching
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Investor Insights
star iconJul 31, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 27 opinions in the last 12 months.

Experts generally view Canadian Pacific Rail (CP-T) as a solid long-term investment, though opinions on timing for entry vary. Many see potential growth following the Kansas City Southern (KSU) acquisition, which strengthens CP's network across Canada, the US, and Mexico. However, concerns about cyclical recession and tariff impacts from trade negotiations linger, creating uncertainty around short-term performance. Analysts' price targets suggest some upside potential, with estimates around $120 to $132. Overall, CP's robust positioning in the rail industry and operational efficiencies are likely to benefit it long-term, although some analysts prefer Canadian National Railway (CNR) based on valuation metrics and dividend yields. Investors are encouraged to consider the market environment and potential pullbacks before making any purchase decisions.

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Consensus
Buy
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Valuation
Fair Value
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Similar
CNR,CP
WAIT
Trades these names. Long in the names since the sell-off in summer. Now has trimmed. No direct exposure. Looking to buy back into the lower end of the range. Call it neutral. Would buy it at 4-7% down. Be patient, and wait for better valuation.
BUY
Really likes it. Also owns CNR. Industrial exposure, but not labour intensive. Great business. CNR is under pressure to improve operational metrics. A bit pricey. For CP, lots of synergies with the KSU acquisition. Perhaps a bit more upside with CP over the next 12 months.
COMMENT
If economy recovers, will see increase in railroad stocks. Stock price will go sideways until Kansas City acquisition and board troubles resolved.
COMMENT
CN Rail vs. CP Rail Asked to choose between these two. It's a close call. The railway business has been very resilient over many years. CP is much more exposed to grain which had a bad year. They also made a huge acquisition of Kansas City S which is dilutive in the short term but accretive over time. CN does not have this kind of uncertainty and not as much grain exposure so he would side with CN
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Great businesses however, thinks that railroad stocks (CP & CN) are overvalued. Growth outlooks don't justify valuations. Wait to buy on a pullback. Free cash flow yields are too low low (~3.5%) 20x earnings an attractive point of entry.
BUY
Railroad business is a great business. Only a few players in the industry so easy to raise prices. Better prices = better margins. Owns CN Rail, but not CP Rail. Good stock to own over the long term.
BUY ON WEAKNESS

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Current KSU holders will be getting CP stock and some may decide to exit. The deal has been in the news and this is probably priced in. A drop would not change any of the fundamentals of the company so you could use it to buy in. The benefits from the merger will take some time, but it is an investment and not a trade. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

DON'T BUY
Under pressure right now. Trades at 19x earnings. Hard to squeeze as many synergies out of the acquisition as it thought. Not convinced it will be a great play. You might get a return of 5-10% over the next 2-3 years, not great growth. Restructuring costs.
WEAK BUY
CP vs. CNR You can probably buy it here, hold it for the long term, make pretty good money, and outperform the TSX. He aims to buy the best opportunity in each sector, so he owns CNR. BC flooding will impact earnings of both, but not a long-term issue. KSU merger is this week, likely to be approved. Challenge integrating this sizeable acquisition. Opportunity is better in CNR.
BUY
A good company, but shares have come down so far that you must buy. Will do well when the economy rebounds.
HOLD
Big acquisition will cost money, but will be great for them over the next 10 years. Short-term issues in BC. All this is already priced into the stock. Fine to hold.
BUY
CP vs. PPL CP from a growth perspective. The KSU acquisition will be fantastic. Next couple of quarters might be difficult, but the acquisition will be accretive. But hang on to PPL for decent valuation, some growth, great yield.
COMMENT
CNR is probably the better buy right now. Likes CP but it is trading at 20x which is expensive. CNR has a better price to growth level.
HOLD
Rails in general are very highly valued because management has increased their efficiencies. FMV is about 22% lower than the current price. It's had a nice bounce. Next technical target is $112. Somewhat speculative now. Management will need to work hard on KSU integration to justify expensive stock price.
COMMENT
Owns CN Rail and is happy with the share price recovering lately. The play book has been to invest in railroads facing activist pressure. Feels that there will be big changes in CNR soon. CP is also good. Positive on railroads. Lots of upside potential in CNR.
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