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NASDAQ:AAPL
This summary was created by AI, based on 85 opinions in the last 12 months.
Apple Inc. (AAPL) continues to face a mixed outlook from experts. While many recognize the company's strong brand, high margins, and impressive free cash flow, there are significant concerns over its current valuation and its lagging position in the rapidly evolving AI landscape. The stock is seen as resilient, but analysts are divided on whether it's a prudent investment at its current price point, considering its high P/E ratio and single-digit growth projections. Some experts suggest that Apple has effectively avoided the frantic spending typical in the AI sector, leveraging partnerships instead, which may safeguard its margins. Yet, others express skepticism about its lack of a concrete AI strategy and its ability to produce substantial growth, indicating that those looking for immediate gains may prefer to wait for a pullback or reconsider their positions entirely.
Stock vs. Stock. BRK.B-N vs. AAPL-Q. The actual price should have nothing to do with it. If you want to hold it 5-10 years then choose BRK-N. In Apple’s space, they take turns dominating the space, so he can’t be sure of it for 5 to 10 years. Buffet may not be around in 10 years but he has good people running the company.
He believes this still has legs. Tim Cook has done an excellent job at being able to manage this company as it goes through its maturity stage. The initiation of a dividend is proof of the metamorphosis that is taking place. He wouldn’t buy this for its dividend, but for its growing dividend. The cash flow they generate is strong, to maintain an increasing dividend over time. Trading at about 13X PE, which is very reasonable in this environment.
Definitely overbought. If you draw a 200 day moving average on the chart, and if it is more than 10% over the 200 day moving average, it is probably time for a pullback. However, this is all within the healthy uptrend. A rule of thumb is to watch the 200 day moving average, and if something arcs too high (10%) off that, it might be due for a pullback. After the pullback, that might be a good time to enter the stock.
There is more clarity than there was 2-5 years ago, when it was thought that they had to reprove themselves on innovations. They now have new products coming such as the new watch and Apple Pay. He thinks there is still a lot of growth and a long runway. Have become much more shareholder friendly. No company globally produces the amount of free cash like this company. His guess is that the 1.44% yield will probably close to double in April.
He would separate the company from the stock. A lot of people love their products and use their products and are a very strong fan base. They dominate profitability and the smart phone industry despite that their market share is only around a 5th globally. He would argue the reason this has been so successful in the last 10 years, is because somewhat uniquely among large cap tech companies, Steve Jobs had the ability to bring together the engineering department, product management department, sales/marketing department, and get them to bash their heads together. This got compelling products out really, really quickly and only focused on products that made a difference. With his passing, his fear is that this company looks a lot like most other large tech companies, where there are all sorts of good ideas percolating, but the real challenge is to get those ideas to market very, very quickly. If he owned, he would be very tempted to take a profit.
Write Covered Calls? You could, although he has never thought of doing it. You would be getting some pretty nice premiums. This is a conservative way of playing it. Don’t forget that whenever you are doing a Covered Call, you are effectively reducing the price of the stock by the value of the Call. Just make sure you know what you are doing because Covered Calls are not difficult to put on, but they get really interesting when there is volatility and you want to take them off. Where a stock price is $100, he looks for an ETF where the Strike price is $100 or $105. Some people will say that you should only go out 1 month or 2 because you will get better yield, because you can do it 2 or 3 times over 6 months. He prefers going out 6 months as he likes more downside protection. It also depends on ex-dividend dates.
He thought APPL would get creamed at some point but overall it has continued to go up. Tech companies do get beaten down at some point. You have to keep coming back with sexy products. He thinks it is crazy that they took on more debt when they had so much money in the kitty. Tech companies do get beaten up at some point.