Vice President of Equity Analysis at Goodreid Investment Council
Member since: Sep '25 · 20 Opinions
A 2 to 3 year timeline is the sweet spot for a long term investor. It is generally easier to form a thesis over three years. Acceleration is remarkable and no case has been made for a monopoly. Google can compete on the AI front and there is not as much focus on the search component. The value of the sum of its parts is greater than people realize.
It does really well with metabolic syndrome chronic diseases, eg Diabetes and has leadership in this area.There have been disappointments in the earnings cycle so it is at a 52 week low. The market only rewards companies that have been executing and Novo hasn't. It could recover however so he is on the sidelines to wait and see.
There were no past picks so he focused on health care in general and specifically. The space has been beaten down with a lot of unloved stocks. There is a hangover from the strong demand during Covid. The Trump administration is making changes on the regulatory front and meaningful reforms. It is a defensive space so there is better growth elsewhere in a bull market, so people move money out of it.
UNH is affected by the sector. There is cost inflation on the medical device side so stability has gone down. The aging population is a tailwind but at a greater cost to the system.
Regarding Merk if you want to make a certain amount on drugs, a lot will disappear because of drugs coming off patent. He hopes they have more M&A deals or innovate internally. Innovation is positive for the industry. They will still have some valuable assets left when the regulatory picture clears.
They own it in the Canadian portfolio. There is a big push towards alternative assets and they generate fees on and grow the quality assets they manage. This includes de-carbonization, wind and solar. It also has partnerships with data centres. They have a pretty meaningful presence in any infrastructure project around the world.