
NASDAQ:AAPL
Not an expensive stock, trading at 11X earnings. They have so much cash that they don’t know what to do with it. Has a big buyback going on, and they can certainly increase the dividend a lot more. The risk is that a lot of their revenue comes from one product. You are not going to see the massive growth that you have seen in previous years. Dividend yield of 2.15%, which could easily be put up to 3%.
(A Top Pick Aug 26/15. Down 2.3%.) After the latest quarter, the obituary has been retracted for now. This is a company and a stock that everyone has an opinion on. It is a highly bifurcated view in that they really love it, or don’t like it at all. You have to remember that this is a company that has been adopted by a great many people as their way of adopting the mobile experience. Thinks that iPhone 7 coming this fall, will be very, very successful. Valuation is extremely attractive, 30% of their market capitalization is in cash, and it is trading at a single digit multiple.
The stock has been pulling back. Smart phone penetration in developed markets is already very high. In the emerging markets, where there is more competition, there are very little phone subsidies. Their phones are quite expensive, so they are not seeing the pickup in demand there. Next quarter might be a bit soft. The catalyst may be when their new phone comes out next year. This is transitioning from a growth company to more of a value stock.
Sold his holdings recently at about $100. Over the last little while, has realized that iPhone sales growth is starting to wane a little. Representing 2/3 of the revenues, he believes that is a bit of an issue. Valuation wise it is still very cheap, trading at around 10 or 11 times forward earnings. Has lots of cash on the books and paying a dividend, but thinks penetration in China is not as strong as people had hoped. Also, on the next iteration of iPhones, are people going to line up and is it going to be as successful as the previous ones.
(Market Call Minute.) Thinks the IOS ecosystem is a win.