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NASDAQ:TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

82.05
-0.29 (0.35%)
as of Aug 21, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
147 watching
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Investor Insights
star iconAug 23, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 5 opinions in the last 12 months.

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has received mixed reviews from various experts in the investment community. Some analysts view it as a strong investment during market downturns, emphasizing that long-term bonds can be attractive when yields rise. However, caution is advised due to potential inflation pressures that could undermine its performance. While some recommend maintaining a small position in TLT, concerns about double taxation for Canadian investors are also noted. Overall, it seems the ETF appeals to high-risk investors with a long-term horizon, despite the possibility of short-term losses and uncertainties in the bond market.

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Consensus
Cautious
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Valuation
Fair Value
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BND-Q
TOP PICK
It will be vulnerable if rates continue to rise. It has served him well in times of market turmoil. He sees higher inflation and higher rates, but the US$ would go higher as well.
DON'T BUY
Bond yields have been one of the biggest stories in the past several months. 10-year yields in the US continue to move higher. Be careful about buying it here. Opportunity for long rates to move higher.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 23/19, Up 15%) He's owned this since 2015. He feels bond yields will decline. As debt increases in the world, it stalls growth and leads to lower bond yields. During economy uncertainty, Canadian holders benefit from a weakening US dollar and lower yields, a double whammy. He will add to his holding
PARTIAL BUY
A past pick of his for Canadian investors. TLT does a great job of being a ballast in times of distress. Lower interest rates drive bond rates And the Canadian dollar will drop and the USD will rise. This amounts to a double-whammy for TLT when thrives in tough times. It's possible that rates can decline even more like they have in Europe. Don;t back up the truck with this, but tou need assets like this in your portfolio.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 23/19, Up 16%) For the Canadian investor this is the best hedge available without using derivatives, options or futures contracts. He does not think the bond-bull market is over. The US$ is seen as a safe haven currency and US treasuries are seen as a safe haven asset. The return can be substantial in times of economic weakness.
TOP PICK
This is an excellent hedge for Canadian investors. Don't look at the yield. If we see more panic it will do well. Canadian investors can also benefit from the currency swing.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 29/19, Up 39%) This asset does well in a deflationary shock period. It has a 20 year duration, so the impact was significant when interest rates dropped.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 21/19, Up 18%) You aren't going to hear a lot of talk of long dated treasuries. If you go back to 1982 and compare 30 year bonds and equity markets through to today they have done similarly except the bonds have had less volatility. The TLT-T is the best hedge for equity market weakness. It is at a reasonable level of support.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 17/18, Up 3%) It’s a bond. Essentially, if you want a percentage of your portfolio in bonds, this is the way to do it. However, the interest rate has gone so low that the strike price came in.
COMMENT

Bond ETFs have come off a bit, as interest rates have started to move up. For every portfolio, you want some exposure to bonds as a buffer in a correction. He owns IEF, lesser duration bonds. Don't avoid fixed income. If equity markets take a turn for the worse, at least your bond portfolio will do well.

BUY
It is long US treasuries. It is one of the best asset classes to protect your portfolio during an economic downturn. He believes we go into an economic recession in 2021.
BUY
TLT is important to play the US 10-year yield, which has made a double-bottom in the past 5 years. Then, the 10-year recently pulled back and made a higher low. If that low holds, then we'll see a series of higher lows, which will lead to the sell of a generation of that US 10-year. Now, we're seeing a big, long-term peak put into place. An uptrend is developing.
PARTIAL SELL
It's had a fantastic year from falling interest rates. Take profits or, if you don't own it already, look elsewhere.
DON'T BUY
Wouldn't touch it because it's short. It's betting that the 20 year price bond will go down. It looks like everybody is piling into the long end of bonds. You might lose your short.
SELL
US Bond ETF. It has been good to him as a firm. The world has gone to these recessionary hiding places and then gone back to thinking we are in recovery and TLT-Q has traded perfectly with that. He thinks it is incredibly over valued right now. Run for the hills from this one.
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