iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Buy,…

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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

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86.73

-0.02 (0.02%)

as of Jun 18, 2026, 11:45:17 pm Market Open.

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Investor Insights

Jun 19, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 4 opinions in the last 12 months.

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is viewed as a viable investment for high-risk investors with a long-term horizon, particularly in a risk-off market where duration could potentially perform well. Analysts note the attractive nearly 5% dividend but caution about potential tax implications due to double-taxation issues, particularly for Canadian investors. Despite some short-term declines, experts remain cautiously optimistic about TLT's performance, suggesting a target range of $90 to $100, especially if the economy shows signs of weakness that could drive investors toward long bonds. There is a narrative surrounding possible changes in US debt issuance that may positively impact TLT, making it a compelling option for those anticipating economic downturns.

Consensus

Cautious

Valuation

Fair Value

Similar

Vanguard

PARTIAL BUY

A past pick of his for Canadian investors. TLT does a great job of being a ballast in times of distress. Lower interest rates drive bond rates And the Canadian dollar will drop and the USD will rise. This amounts to a double-whammy for TLT when thrives in tough times. It's possible that rates can decline even more like they have in Europe. Don;t back up the truck with this, but tou need assets like this in your portfolio.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sep 23/19, Up 16%) For the Canadian investor this is the best hedge available without using derivatives, options or futures contracts. He does not think the bond-bull market is over. The US$ is seen as a safe haven currency and US treasuries are seen as a safe haven asset. The return can be substantial in times of economic weakness.

TOP PICK

This is an excellent hedge for Canadian investors. Don't look at the yield. If we see more panic it will do well. Canadian investors can also benefit from the currency swing.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 29/19, Up 39%) This asset does well in a deflationary shock period. It has a 20 year duration, so the impact was significant when interest rates dropped.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 21/19, Up 18%) You aren't going to hear a lot of talk of long dated treasuries. If you go back to 1982 and compare 30 year bonds and equity markets through to today they have done similarly except the bonds have had less volatility. The TLT-T is the best hedge for equity market weakness. It is at a reasonable level of support.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 17/18, Up 3%) It’s a bond. Essentially, if you want a percentage of your portfolio in bonds, this is the way to do it. However, the interest rate has gone so low that the strike price came in.

COMMENT

Bond ETFs have come off a bit, as interest rates have started to move up. For every portfolio, you want some exposure to bonds as a buffer in a correction. He owns IEF, lesser duration bonds. Don't avoid fixed income. If equity markets take a turn for the worse, at least your bond portfolio will do well.

BUY

It is long US treasuries. It is one of the best asset classes to protect your portfolio during an economic downturn. He believes we go into an economic recession in 2021.

BUY

TLT is important to play the US 10-year yield, which has made a double-bottom in the past 5 years. Then, the 10-year recently pulled back and made a higher low. If that low holds, then we'll see a series of higher lows, which will lead to the sell of a generation of that US 10-year. Now, we're seeing a big, long-term peak put into place. An uptrend is developing.

PARTIAL SELL

It's had a fantastic year from falling interest rates. Take profits or, if you don't own it already, look elsewhere.

DON'T BUY

Wouldn't touch it because it's short. It's betting that the 20 year price bond will go down. It looks like everybody is piling into the long end of bonds. You might lose your short.

SELL

US Bond ETF. It has been good to him as a firm. The world has gone to these recessionary hiding places and then gone back to thinking we are in recovery and TLT-Q has traded perfectly with that. He thinks it is incredibly over valued right now. Run for the hills from this one.

TOP PICK

Look what the 30-year bond did in 2008. In the next recession the 30-year will do very well. Also, the Canadian dollar will weaken in the next recession, so you get a double-whammy with rates going down.

WATCH

Gone kind of ballistic. It's overbought, so it could pull back. If we have any lift of the fear, then TLT may not be such a good place.

COMMENT

Tracks treasury yields. It popped up with falling interest rates. Seeing more money going to the long-end of the yield curve. The second the interest rate starts going up, this can go down 15-20%. Would be cautious about parking money there. A 5 year bond fund or GIC might be better to park money there.

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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)