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NASDAQ:TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

86.73
-0.02 (0.02%)
as of Jun 18, 2026, 11:45:17 pm Market Open.
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Investor Insights
star iconJun 19, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 4 opinions in the last 12 months.

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is viewed as a viable investment for high-risk investors with a long-term horizon, particularly in a risk-off market where duration could potentially perform well. Analysts note the attractive nearly 5% dividend but caution about potential tax implications due to double-taxation issues, particularly for Canadian investors. Despite some short-term declines, experts remain cautiously optimistic about TLT's performance, suggesting a target range of $90 to $100, especially if the economy shows signs of weakness that could drive investors toward long bonds. There is a narrative surrounding possible changes in US debt issuance that may positively impact TLT, making it a compelling option for those anticipating economic downturns.

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Cautious
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Fair Value
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BUY
Best ETF to get exposure to 30-year Treasury bonds. Trades 20 to 30 years fixed income. This is the one he uses. More aggressive option with 25+ year maturity remaining is ZEROZ-N. ZTL-T is also an option in Canada that can allow to hedge the currency risk. Keep in mind that if inflation wins and Fed misses, you don't want to hold long bonds.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 17/22, Down 6%) We'll get deflation first, he thinks, then hyperinflation. TLT is there for emergencies, like massive deflation, when TLT will rally, then he would take gains. These are long-volatility assets that could do spectacularly in the future.
COMMENT
ZTL is the Canadian equivalent to TLT.
TOP PICK
In his portfolio, he's put equal measures of PHYS and TLT. Buy this with USD. This and gold are the only 2 asset classes left that can play the long volatility strategy. If you have the two together, it eliminates all possibilities. If we have major deflation, gold will get hit, but TLT will go spectacularly up. Or vice versa, if we have hyper-inflation.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 08/21, Down 0.9%) Believes best hedge against equities for Canadian investors. US Treasury is one of highest quality investments available. If/when equity markets drop, believes shares will rise. If looking to reduce volatility, will be a good investment.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 19/21, Down 6.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with TLT has triggered its stop at $135. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 5%, when combined with the previous buy recommendation.
COMMENT
He covered this yesterday and will continue to trade this. If yields fall, he'll short this again.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We reiterate TLT as a precautionary holding, to protect in the event of another market retracement. TLT is an ETF that represents US 20 long term treasury bonds of a term of 20+ years. Yields on long term treasuries have rebounded back to 2.00% making this another good entry point. We now recommend setting a stop loss at $135. Yield 1.51%
COMMENT
Represents the 20+ year maturity of the USD treasuries. You get USD exposure and the long duration exposure. For a Canadian portfolio, if we get a deflationary wave, the USD and long bonds do well.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 06/20, Down 15%) This was a hedge against the market falling during Covid last year. TLT is the best hedge to the Canadian long stock investor. TLT holds long-dated US treasuries (in USD). When things go pear-shaped in late 2018 or March 2020, TLT does very well, because there's a rush to market safety. Also, TLT will reduce market volatility. He still holds this, but sold part of it. The consensus now is that there will be sustained inflation moving forward. TLT should continue to do well. He expects this to fall round $120 and would add to his holdings here. The bond bull market is not over, he feels, though many do.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly TLT is an ETF that represents US 20 long term treasury bonds of a term of 20+ years. Yields on these treasuries have been rising steadily since the pandemic based market collapse last March from under 1.00% to 2.25% now. This is a precautionary holding, to protect in the event of another market retracement. With the S&P500 trading at 22.4x earnings the market is at risk to correction if this season's reported earnings disappoint. As we consider this a hedge, we do not set a target or stop-loss, but instead will monitor trends in the underlying yield as a signal. Yield 1.61%
PARTIAL BUY
Duration is an asset class. Have been adding to TLT as yields are rising. In the back half of the year, we will see Feds step up purchases of longer term bonds. Don't look for it to get back to ATH. It will probably peak around $150-155. Trade duration as an asset class. It depends how willing the Feds are to step up purchases. Be active and trade. Don't invest.
TOP PICK
It will be vulnerable if rates continue to rise. It has served him well in times of market turmoil. He sees higher inflation and higher rates, but the US$ would go higher as well.
DON'T BUY
Bond yields have been one of the biggest stories in the past several months. 10-year yields in the US continue to move higher. Be careful about buying it here. Opportunity for long rates to move higher.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 23/19, Up 15%) He's owned this since 2015. He feels bond yields will decline. As debt increases in the world, it stalls growth and leads to lower bond yields. During economy uncertainty, Canadian holders benefit from a weakening US dollar and lower yields, a double whammy. He will add to his holding
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