Stock Opinions by Tyler Mordy - Stockchase Experts
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Tyler Mordy

On Stockchase since : Jul 2016

President & CIO at Forstrong Global Asset Management

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Stock Opinions by Tyler Mordy - Stockchase Experts

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

February 25, 2019

Consensus says we will inevitably hit another recession, but not necessarily. There's a lot of scar tissue from the last recession, he notes. Recoveries are long, and we've had several resets since the last recession. So, it's not so simple to frame current markets as end-of-cycle. True, now we have the lowest expectations for global growth, and December saw huge outflows from markets. The bar is very low for upside surprises. The U.S. has and will continue to underperform vs. the world; has done so since the Sept. 21, 2018 market peak in America.
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Consensus says we will inevitably hit another recession, but not necessarily. There's a lot of scar tissue from the last recession, he notes. Recoveries are long, and we've had several resets since the last recession. So, it's not so simple to frame current markets as end-of-cycle. True, now we have the lowest expectations for global growth, and December saw huge outflows from markets. The bar is very low for upside surprises. The U.S. has and will continue to underperform vs. the world; has done so since the Sept. 21, 2018 market peak in America.
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Tyler Mordy

President , Forstrong Global Ass...

Price Price
$0.000
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BUY
Bonds don't yield much. ZLC's average yield to maturity is 3.9% with a duration of 13, which means that if interest rates rise by 1% this loses 13%. If you expect a recession, this is great. He doesn't forsee a recession though. This lets you piggybank on BMO's liquidity.
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Bonds don't yield much. ZLC's average yield to maturity is 3.9% with a duration of 13, which means that if interest rates rise by 1% this loses 13%. If you expect a recession, this is great. He doesn't forsee a recession though. This lets you piggybank on BMO's liquidity.
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Tyler Mordy

President , Forstrong Global Ass...

Price Price
$18.140
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Unknown

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COMMENT
Not familiar with this. He owns BOTZ, though. FOUR-T is worth a look too. He's starting to look at these AI ETFs. No rush to buy these, but one should look into them.
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Not familiar with this. He owns BOTZ, though. FOUR-T is worth a look too. He's starting to look at these AI ETFs. No rush to buy these, but one should look into them.
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Tyler Mordy

President , Forstrong Global Ass...

Price Price
$27.140
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No

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DON'T BUY
A great ETF, low-cost and diversified in America. But emerging markets will make up 77% of growth in 2019, so he'd rather buy outside America. Think global.
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A great ETF, low-cost and diversified in America. But emerging markets will make up 77% of growth in 2019, so he'd rather buy outside America. Think global.
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Tyler Mordy

President , Forstrong Global Ass...

Price Price
$46.010
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DON'T BUY
A recession-proof ETF? Has a yield to maturity of 3.2%, with a duration of 14.7. But he doesn't expect a recession; American will slow down and the rest of the world will pick up, primarily China. Also look at the Chinese and Japanese currencies (FXY or KCNY).
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A recession-proof ETF? Has a yield to maturity of 3.2%, with a duration of 14.7. But he doesn't expect a recession; American will slow down and the rest of the world will pick up, primarily China. Also look at the Chinese and Japanese currencies (FXY or KCNY).
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Tyler Mordy

President , Forstrong Global Ass...

Price Price
$23.810
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BUY
Vanguard Emerging ETF(VWO-N) 

February 25, 2019

An ETF for an RESP. He's focusing his own son on emerging markets. The U.S. stock market is now the most expensive in the world with the least-accomodative liquidity (via U.S. Fed Powell). Go global.
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An ETF for an RESP. He's focusing his own son on emerging markets. The U.S. stock market is now the most expensive in the world with the least-accomodative liquidity (via U.S. Fed Powell). Go global.
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Tyler Mordy

President , Forstrong Global Ass...

Price Price
$42.400
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 06/18, Down 6%) This is still good if global macro-economic expectations remain depressed, reasonable valuations and a likely upside. Also likes this for its Japanese exposure; Japan boast the highest ROE in the corporate sector and sitting on a lot of cash. Japan is a sleeper sector.
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(A Top Pick Sep 06/18, Down 6%) This is still good if global macro-economic expectations remain depressed, reasonable valuations and a likely upside. Also likes this for its Japanese exposure; Japan boast the highest ROE in the corporate sector and sitting on a lot of cash. Japan is a sleeper sector.
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Tyler Mordy

President , Forstrong Global Ass...

Price Price
$57.220
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Yes

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 06/18, Up 17%) Everybody's favourite whipping boy in 2018 was China during the trade war, but he expects a long, secular bull market in China going forward. Good valuations; China's bank earnings are 6x only. China is a complicated market though, because of sprawling securities around the world, but ASHR covers mainland Chinese stocks and heavily weights the banks.
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(A Top Pick Sep 06/18, Up 17%) Everybody's favourite whipping boy in 2018 was China during the trade war, but he expects a long, secular bull market in China going forward. Good valuations; China's bank earnings are 6x only. China is a complicated market though, because of sprawling securities around the world, but ASHR covers mainland Chinese stocks and heavily weights the banks.
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Tyler Mordy

President , Forstrong Global Ass...

Price Price
$28.130
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Yes

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 06/18, Up 12%) Diversified in EM. You get the coupon offering a 7% yield; the return on the bond itself; and the currency return. In an emerging bull market, you want to see currencies stabilize first, then the bond markets so that investors move up the risk curve. He's bullish EM.
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(A Top Pick Sep 06/18, Up 12%) Diversified in EM. You get the coupon offering a 7% yield; the return on the bond itself; and the currency return. In an emerging bull market, you want to see currencies stabilize first, then the bond markets so that investors move up the risk curve. He's bullish EM.
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Tyler Mordy

President , Forstrong Global Ass...

Price Price
$45.080
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DON'T BUY
Low-cost and diversified. But the growth will come more from Asia, not Latin America. He has only minimal exposure in Latin America.
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Low-cost and diversified. But the growth will come more from Asia, not Latin America. He has only minimal exposure in Latin America.
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Tyler Mordy

President , Forstrong Global Ass...

Price Price
$34.930
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No

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

February 25, 2019

Mutual funds vs. ETFs Nothing wrong to own both, per se, but you can build a globally diversified portfolio with ETFs.
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Mutual funds vs. ETFs Nothing wrong to own both, per se, but you can build a globally diversified portfolio with ETFs.
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Tyler Mordy

President , Forstrong Global Ass...

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$0.000
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BUY
Core series ETFs from iShares are awesome to build portfolios. XEF is a good start, but also add exposure to Asia. Low-cost MER, too.
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Core series ETFs from iShares are awesome to build portfolios. XEF is a good start, but also add exposure to Asia. Low-cost MER, too.
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Tyler Mordy

President , Forstrong Global Ass...

Price Price
$29.460
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DON'T BUY
ZLB vs. ZUB These are low-volatility ETFs, and he isn't keen on low-vol. Low-vol means defensive sectors like utilities, and away from growth. He's slightly bullish the cyclical outlook. This is not a good entry point now, though otherwise both are good ETFs.
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ZLB vs. ZUB These are low-volatility ETFs, and he isn't keen on low-vol. Low-vol means defensive sectors like utilities, and away from growth. He's slightly bullish the cyclical outlook. This is not a good entry point now, though otherwise both are good ETFs.
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Tyler Mordy

President , Forstrong Global Ass...

Price Price
$31.660
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DON'T BUY
ZLB vs. ZUB These are low-volatility ETFs, and he isn't keen on low-vol. Low-vol means defensive sectors like utilities, and away from growth. He's slightly bullish the cyclical outlook. This is not a good entry point now, though otherwise both are good ETFs.
E.T.F.'s
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ZLB vs. ZUB These are low-volatility ETFs, and he isn't keen on low-vol. Low-vol means defensive sectors like utilities, and away from growth. He's slightly bullish the cyclical outlook. This is not a good entry point now, though otherwise both are good ETFs.
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Tyler Mordy

President , Forstrong Global Ass...

Price Price
$27.870
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TOP PICK
Trade wars pumelled China internet stocks last year, but they won't derail this long-term trend. Online retail is stronger in China than America: 20% of purchases are made online in China vs. 10% in America.
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Trade wars pumelled China internet stocks last year, but they won't derail this long-term trend. Online retail is stronger in China than America: 20% of purchases are made online in China vs. 10% in America.
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Tyler Mordy

President , Forstrong Global Ass...

Price Price
$47.320
Owned Owned
Yes

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