Teck Resources Ltd. (B) (TECK.B.TO)

Had a big pullback and probably enough to add to it or put new money in. But commodity stocks are not going to do well until commodities start going up. Look elsewhere if you are a short term investor.

5 year low. It’s all about metallurgical coal. It has been all about China. He is sure looking at this one to just pick it up for the yield alone.

He kind of likes it because of diversified metals exposure, but coal is dragging it down. Nothing wrong with it, but he prefers First Quantum (FM-T).

The only short-term dislocation is the price of met coal. There has been some short term over-capacity or over-inventory in China, which has probably put a Hold on this company. Also, a major producer of zinc and copper. He is positive on both these metals. Dividend yield of over 5%, which he feels is safe. If you see the price turning up, then you can Buy it.

Material stocks have really had a difficult few years. A bigger problem is that in a lot of the markets, this cycle has had a reply response. It is not so much that the global economy is dead, but there has been enough of a reply response. It is very important to watch in each material company, what they produce and how much. This company has a very large exposure to coke and coal which has not been very good shape. The outlook does not look good for the next couple of years.

Stock has been hammered, perhaps with some justification. It is much more a metallurgical coal company now than it was in the past. Just did some contracts on met coal at about $116-$118 a ton, which is very, very low. The fear is that with a slowdown in China, there is not going to be the demand for met coal. That is a very short term point of view. In the long-term, we are going to see better markets for copper, zinc and met coal. He has been watching this very closely to see where he will jump in on it. This has the potential to be a $30 stock again.

She owns a little bit. Has been taking a bath this week and is almost at the capitulation stage. Feels the dividend is safe. They refinanced their debt so there is nothing coming due for the next few years. They are a low cost producer in the commodities they participate in. She wants to watch the stock price stabilize before buying more. Also, wants to see commodity prices stabilize as well.

He got out a few years ago. Iron ore markets’ outlook is pretty poor. It is the last iconic Canadian company left. He would wait for commodity prices to bottom. Doesn’t see any upside much into next year and perhaps after.

For less income oriented clients. Sticks with it. They produce some of the most demanded commodities in terms of coal and zinc and they will be demanded for some time. Economic fundamentals look solid and should be good for demand. 4+% yield and they are committed to that dividend. Close your eyes for now.

A lot of insider buying recently. It has not been a winner for him yet. He was attracted because the balance sheet seemed pretty stable and the dividend safe. Their main products longer term were positive. In the near term commodities seem to be going down as the US$ goes up.

This is probably one of the finest resource/resource companies from a management and spread of resources point of view. The stock is very cheap. If the market rotation carries on, as he expects along with global expansion, he thinks this will pick up. His minimum price target on his FMV calculation is $40, but that is against the background of steadily falling earnings. Doesn’t see a lot of downside risk in the meantime, but would like to see some resource price strength, which he thinks we will get.

Just recently bought this one. The US$ went on a bit of a rout here and really hurt the materials. As well, the China sentiment got more and more negative. Feels people have gone too negative and stocks were oversold. Thinks this is a stock that will get back.

Coal has been under pressure lately, but he expects it is bottoming. Don’t look for anything dramatic for a couple of quarters. Copper is also bottoming out and zinc looks pretty good. When Fort Hills comes on line you will see an increase in value.

A cheaper alternative would be Sherritt (S-T). You want a diversified metal/mineral conglomerate and this is probably the best bet in terms of its size and management. Like all resource stocks, it has been a very uninspiring performer over the last year. The Chinese credit squeeze has definitely hit the prices of most of the base metals. Not the time to be buying unless you are feeling more enthusiastic about the outlook for Chinese domestic growth and its recovery.

Seasonal tendencies on this, throughout the year, are rather sporadic. There is not a positive tendency for any particular month except for December. December tends to produce an average gain of about 8% and is positive about 90% of the time in the past 20 years. He can’t see too much positive about the chart.