Teck Resources Ltd. (B) (TECK.B.TO)

Historically this does very well from October to probably through April of each year. However, this year the stock is not doing what it normally should do on a seasonal basis. It has actually established a short downward trend. Trading below its 20 day moving average and underperforming the TSE Composite. There are better opportunities elsewhere, within the base metal sector.

(A Top Pick March 6/14. Down 27.01%.) Sold his position. It is a good company and there will be a time to add it back. Selling it here was a good way to use capital elsewhere.

They are capable of buying something but he had not heard speculation of taking out HBM-T. It would mean it was going to step up in base metals. One of the most covered Canadian stocks throughout the world.

The only mining company he owns for his clients. The stock is under pressure because met. coal has been under pressure. The dividend is covered okay right now but could get cut in the future.

It has recovered nicely, but still trading at a 47% discount from book value. Decent balance sheet and good upside potential. If there is not an economic disaster it might work its way up from the lows.

Not wildly excited about the resource sector for this year. They have reported much better numbers than people were expecting. If she wanted to own base metal companies, this would be one of the ones that she would own, but isn’t sure that it is absolutely necessary at this point. She would want to see growth in China starting to pick up before buying a resource stock.

Likes it and has for some time. 1 to 3 years futures for copper are flat. He is bullish on the US economy so it will eventually do well.

Copper and base metals are still under a cloud. We are talking about better international growth, but we still haven’t got to the point where there seems to be any shortage developing in most of the base metals. Miners are getting a really good lift from lower energy costs. We have a ways to go from a technical standpoint. The stock has to get back to $24-$25 to begin to look reasonable on a performance basis. There is no rush to get into this.

Currently in a downward trend. However there are early signs of it trying to bottom. The period of seasonality is from the end of January to May of each year. It is below its 20 day moving average, but watch it closely.

If you want diversified exposure to metals, this is the way to get it. The yield of about 5% is solid. His overall market strategy is pro-cyclical, but excluding the commodity sector. He doesn’t have really strong confidence that we are going to see any sustainable uptrend in metal prices going forward.

(Top Pick Feb 5/14, Down 38.58%) He was not aware prices would come down the way they were. Everything has come against them here. They have a big cash reserve, but it is not what it was before. The dividend is safe for now.

Materials stocks have to go through the balance sheet write downs. This one is foretelling this will happen to this one.

If you believe in his recovery thesis going out 3-4 years, this is an absolute Buy. Will improve as copper prices improve. Also has tremendous leverage on the coal side and he feels coal could see signs of a recovery. You are getting a good yield while you are waiting.

Chart shows a large drop from mid-year, and it is not a pretty picture. The good news is that the metals and Mining stocks can actually start to do well from the last part of January right through until April. This could be a good buying opportunity, but you want to wait to see commodities pick up a bit.

In all of the commodities they produce, the prices have gone down, particularly for coal. The question is, is the dividend of 6.25% sustainable with commodity prices this low. When you see a company with a yield of over 5%, the market is probably telling you that the dividend is not sustainable. He doesn’t see commodity prices rising any time soon.