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TSE:TECK.B
This summary was created by AI, based on 13 opinions in the last 12 months.
Teck Resources Ltd. has been drawing mixed reviews from analysts, particularly surrounding its impending merger with Anglo American and ongoing production challenges at its key Chilean mine. While some see potential for significant growth and a greater presence in the copper market, fueled by high demand from sectors like AI and data centers, concerns about execution risk and geopolitical issues linger. Analysts note the volatile nature of copper prices and its direct impact on Teck's cash flow and overall performance. Those who hold the stock are encouraged to maintain their positions in light of the potential post-merger dynamics, although others advise caution due to recent market fluctuations and production setbacks. Overall, there’s a cautious optimism about its valuation and future growth as it strives to navigate these challenges.
Thinks this stock has upside. Just sold their Hydro assets for an unbelievable multiple to EBITDA, $175 million, to Fortis. The objection has been that their balance sheet has been over stretched. They’ve done a wonderful job driving that down. He sees this as trading at about 3.5X forward EBITDA. Metals like zinc and coal don’t market much attention, but a company that generates that much cash will eventually get market attention. Very well-run and has a collection of world-class assets.
The star of 2016. It began the year well, kind of rallied, and then tanked recently as metallurgical coal prices fell. Now trading at around $25 and is interesting value because of the zinc operations. When he looks at this, he looks at it as a zinc play in the near term. Medium term and longer-term would be copper. And then you get a kick in from metallurgical coal at some point. He hasn’t bought any lately, but it is quite attractive.
The period of seasonal strength is from around the middle of November, right through until around the end of April. This year, it started to go the same way, but then didn’t complete it. Chart shows a technical head and shoulders pattern, which is not good news. The implied downside risk in a trading range is from its peak to the equivalent dollar amount on the downside. Start to look for better opportunities elsewhere.
He is Short this and Long on a copper producer. Doesn’t have anything against the company, it is more about the coal space. Metallurgical coal is a commodity that has had its run. Feels that the expected free cash to be generated through 2017, are probably misguided. We are starting to see a lot of coal capacity come into the market after the run-up in prices last year.
Just reported and earnings were disappointing. Both zinc and copper were late on production. He likes the company. Longer-term goal, coal prices are still doing well. With higher commodity prices, they’ve been paying down debt quite significantly. A good stock to own if looking for a diversified resource exposure.
Has a small position in this, and is her only holding in the materials space. It recovered nicely last year on stronger iron ore prices, but that was temporary. It has moderated this year. Thinks it will slowly strengthen, but will be predicated upon Chinese demand. The Chinese economy is stabilizing and growing. This company is also exposed to copper and zinc. Zinc has been in an oversupply for a number of years, and has gone through the typical cycle, and the supply/demand dynamics are going to improve. There are going to be some weak days in the market, and would recommend that you scale into this.
Chart shows a downtrend, and it could drop a little more. It may come down to around $27 and go up from there. The whole base metal complex actually looks quite positive. It is these next 2 months where you are probably going to get a spot to get it a little bit cheaper. Try to get it somewhere south of $29 and you’ll be happy a year from now.
This has recovered a lot. They generated a huge amount of cash flow in Q1, and he thinks there is room for the dividend to go up. Now is a good time to pick away at these things for the next 3-5 years. If the theory is right, you are going to make very good money. Dividend yield of 0.8%. (Analysts’ price target is $37.50.)