
TSE:TD
Seasonally this does well from around the beginning of October right through until the end of the year. Currently the stock is in a downward trend and underperforming the TSE composite and trading below its 20 day moving average. Just recently broke its short term support level. Wait until mid-October which will give you an opportunity for a seasonal trade.
It is very rare that you see the multiple of this bank less than a couple of the other banks in the sector, and that is the situation we are looking at now. The multiple is down to about 10.8X next year’s earnings. The yield is still lower than some of the other banks, but he likes them because of their US exposure. The 2 banks with the lowest PE’s are the 2 that do not have as much US exposure. This is a great entry point. Yield of about 3.8%.
Wouldn’t be worried about the banks. There are 2 views. Are you going to hold this for the next 3-5 years or more? If so, just hold onto them. Valuations aren’t wildly expensive; they are just OK and reflect the reality of what is happening to the banks. Outlook doesn’t look great for the next 12 months, so find some of the names that you can offset some of that risk in another sector.
Has a great franchise and it is not expensive, trading at about 11.5-12 times earnings. One of the few banks in Canada that has actually developed a franchise in the US. Have also done some very good acquisitions. Dividend yield of 4.01%.