
TSE:TD
(A Top Pick Jan 08/20, Up 4%) Has developed a great US franchise that will continue to grow. Selling Ameritrade business to Schwab was a good move that will grow their retail business. TD is well-capitalized like all Canadian banks. Real estate is an ongoing worry in Canada, but TD has a diversified loan book and income stream--not just loaning money, but credit cards, asset management and investment banking. TD is not pricey at current levels, so you can buy it. Pays a great dividend. Banks will improve their cost structure, particularly in the back office. There may be an inflection point later where customers bank online and don't go to actual branches.
Canadian banks are under huge pressure with rates so low. Possible that rates go negative next year, and that's a tax on fixed income. One of Canada's strongest banks, along with Royal. They'll figure out a way to make money, no matter what the environment.
Tough year for the banks. Q4 will be released in a few weeks, and you never know what you're going to get. Brighter days are ahead, and the market's already figured that out. BMO is not his favourite. Prefers National, TD, Royal. You'll do fine with the Canadian banks. Some concerns around fintech. Low interest rates will be a problem, but offset by recovering economy. Good time to add for dividend seekers.
Going forward, Canadian banks will face low interest rates for quite some time, as well as a struggling economy. Government won't allow mass credit losses. Banks will muddle along, you get your dividend. TD is his first choice of the Canadian banks.
Canadian banks as a group are attractive right now. The entire space should fare well. US banks valuations have come up, whereas Canadian ones are still undervalued. He also likes RY and TD.