
TSE:T
Of the big 3 telcos, cleanest "dirty shirt" in the pile. Dividend growth this year, subscriber growth still positive. Moving from a period of heavy capital expense for 5G, to a time to stick to the knitting and long-term playbook. Yield is ~8%, which will be in demand as interest rates fall, and safer than other telco names.
In his dividend growers mandate, bought late last year. Best telecom in Canada, greatest financial strength and flexibility. Best dividend growth prospects among peers. Yield's about 8%. Price competition has leveled off. Earnings should improve. Good portfolio of non-telecom businesses. Catalyst-rich.
Still adding new money. He uses a name like this to offset higher beta/risk names like CSU and BN in client TFSAs. Due to price competition, telcos haven't grown. Being further tested due to less immigration. Flipside is that the 6-7% yield and a 2-3% price gain would give you a 10% total return.
Problem is all the leverage taken on to build out 5G, but not getting an economic return from it.
The whole space is getting hurt by pricing pressure from the current 4 players instead of the previous 3. CRTC's ambiguous roaming rules haven't helped. The story has been population growth, and now we have less of that. Still, this is the one to bet on: best run, very disciplined, good dividend (doesn't think it will be cut). A good opportunity here with tax-loss selling.
All the telcos are pretty good buys at these levels, but this one's probably his favourite. See his Past Picks.
The one reason to own a telecom company is for the income. If you're not, there are much better growth ideas out there. Probably the best telco operator, but in the end it doesn't matter because price competition will take years to filter through. All of them will be challenged on profitability.
Not a growth industry, though Telus has made some unique investments. All you're hoping for is to collect the dividend and get a rerating on the multiple, which could be many years out (and may not come). If you don't need the income, look elsewhere. Yield is 8%.
Added just a couple of weeks ago. Interest-rate sensitivity has turned from a headwind to a tailwind, as both central banks in US and Canada have started cutting rates. Canada will have more cuts soon, fast, and deep in the coming 3-12 months.
Will benefit from fund flows, as GICs will now be earning 3-3.5% instead of 5-5.5%. Dividend is not only sustainable, but will likely grow faster than the other telcos. Last month, increased dividend by 3.5% on the heels of previous 3.5% increase back in March. Yield is 7.3%.
Better financial strength and flexibility than peers; its 2 rivals are distracted. It holds a more interesting (and small but faster-growing) collection of non-telecom businesses -- virtual healthcare, employee benefits and consulting, home monitoring, etc. Interesting catalyst with stated intent to monetize ~$3B of non-core urban real estate into high-density residential housing.
Owns only a little Telus and telcos. The dividend is safer than BCE's, but less than Roger's. Telus should be okay, because they invested in fibre optic to the home before others. So, will be lower capex and operating expensives, and more cash flow. Is comfortable with their dividend.