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Shopify Inc.SHOP.TOBUYFeb 19, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 17, 2026. Market Open.
Has never owned. 200-day MA just started to roll over, and that's not positive. Price now below 200-day MA. It's always been pricey (9x forward price-to-sales). Tech and general market have been up, but this name's down 4.3% over 12 months. Catering to small-middle businesses makes it riskier vis-a-vis the economy.
If you're already in it, watch to see if it breaks recent lows of support. So many other names out there with much better valuations.
Still some runway. Tarred with the software brush. A proud Canadian all-star. Buy in 3 tranches: here, ~$105, and ~$100 (that would indicate it's getting to the bottom). If you own now, add on weakness as outlined.
Note: Not in his fund, but in some separately managed accounts.
Right here, right now is a good entry point for a long-term hold. Part of the AI witch-hunt trade. Competitive moat won't be eroded by agentic AI. People don't understand that writing code is not "one and done", not to mention cybersecurity concerns and complex payment systems.
Increasingly catering to larger customers. Continues to innovate and to add value to legacy markets.
Trouble is that it's always pricey, but finally at a level that's not so expensive. Models 46% EPS growth, trading ~46x PE for 2028. Beat last week and raised the outlook.
Commerce tailwinds, but so many fears on AI. Market's treating all these businesses as though they're all going away. He thinks AI helps enable its business. Buying back stock, and that's what the smart folks do.