Precision Drilling (PD-T)

Drilling services to energy (oil & gas) producers. This name weakens when energy companies decide to pull back on drilling; they do that when the commodity's weak and there's less $$ to spend. Very volatile, and that's why she stays away.

Gets swayed by underlying commodity prices and the energy sector, in general, has come off. OPEC has indicated its cutbacks won't continue; a bizarre move in the face of weaker demand, which suggests they need revenue from energy volumes to drive their economies.

He sold. Service sector has been completely eviscerated. Capex is being cut everywhere, as low oil price isn't motivating for drilling. Won't do well if market continues to be risk-off.

He exited at a profit. Services have been selling off when gas/oil was recently weak. The problem is that drillers have gotten too efficient. That said, this is looking tempting, trading at 3x EBITDA and 32% free cash flow yield.

Many oil and gas services companies under pressure, both here and in US. Concern that energy prices will be lower under Trump. This name might have tariff concerns as well. Good investment long-term.

More drilling 'should' result in more activity for the service sector, of course. PD is very cheap and seeing fundamental improvement. We would be comfortable in the $76 to $77 range. 
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

Remember to buy a sector when it looks terrible, not when it's up 80-90%  ;)

Still likes it but not as much, as drilling is weaker than thought. Selloff in oil, drop in rig count. More efficient drilling ultimately means less work. Continues to de-lever. Everyone's excited about natural gas. Massive exposure to nat gas in Canada, which has better dynamics than US. About a 3.7% weight for him.

Is a lower-risk version of Ensign given its healthier balance sheet as reflected in his higher valuation

The drilling business like the oil price has come under pressure. Short-term, exploration/drilling could be slower, while pipelines will continue to thrive. There needs to be a real, systemic increase in the oil price, otherwise PD will be rangebound.

Still constructive, especially after Q2 reporting. US activity and nat gas remain weak. US investors are buying because Canada's oil & gas industry is very, very strong. LNG Canada is a huge catalyst. Sees $185 target, or 93% upside from here.

Consolidating, as are a lot of stocks in the sector. Attempting to break out, wrestling with the older highs of $120. Longer term, likes oil. Hard to say if this one will break out. If you're patient, you'll probably be rewarded. But also a chance could tumble back into the trading tunnel. It's a flip of the coin.

Modest multiple. Trades today at 22-23% free cashflow yield at modest activity levels; forward free cashflow yield of 26%. Offers strong optionality for better activity levels in 2025, predicated on higher nat gas price. No interest in services right now, so that's one of the best value propositions. No dividend.

For his bullish natural gas outlook. 23% free cashflow yield, slightly more bullish next year at 28%. Pledged to return 35% of that to shareholders. He targets 116% upside from here. No dividend.

Large contract drilling company in Canada & USA. Very risky name that is volatile. Directly tied to outcome of energy business. Day rates (salary expenses) can swing wildly. Very inexpensive stock, but hard to determine outcome of business (profits etc.)

He prefers drilling to pumping because the former has far fewer competitors and pricing has been firm amid weak nat gas prices. The Canadian market is much stronger than the U.S. It boasts 31% free cash flow yield in 2025, and they will return 30-40% of that. Will hit their debt targets. he owns nearly 10% of the company. The outlook for LNG is positive. He sees 137% upside.